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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Liquid, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid46c5,663$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.373,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked G254c4,671$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.913,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed G222c4,276$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.931,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid54c3,063$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.960639.9%242 W · 364 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed G242c2,500$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.0911940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Liquid72c2,460$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked G241c2,459$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.432948.3%159 W · 170 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x334e…26f1backed G231c2,386$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.042661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Liquid53c2,228$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.0877957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309b…2c72backed Liquid67c2,217$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.782544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Liquid80c2,190$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75228553.7%153 W · 132 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed Liquid58c2,183$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.138052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid39c2,125$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.252,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed G242c1,978$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.8446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked G231c1,854$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.6626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked G258c1,731$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.583351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G239c1,353$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.271,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa267…93a6backed Liquid1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed Liquid1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10254%1 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+300%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid65c912$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.081,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Liquid57c911.95$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.48941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked Liquid60c905.88$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid25c811.16$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.795,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Liquid51c769.99$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Liquid66c768.63$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.872759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Liquid64c625.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.034847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Liquid78c618.82$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.1955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…f4fcbacked G268c590.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed G232c583.79$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9892152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed G240c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30050043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55f…5705backed Liquid6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30605%3 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351f…3629backed Liquid54c460.13$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G252c424.74$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.082,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid41c415.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.928,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Liquid75c413.15$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8120562.9%129 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked G237c406$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.360147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked G230c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G252c399$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed G249c375.01$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2620150.2%101 W · 100 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Liquid35c336.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2712028.3%34 W · 86 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Liquid78c333$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.749260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed G271c330.59$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.251,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fc5…197fbacked Liquid58c306.55$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.022352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Liquid69c290$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Liquid71c282.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20066862.4%417 W · 251 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Liquid6c250.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed G239c249.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.53330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Liquid41c240.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4127348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G261c218.71$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.522,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed G265c213.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5931452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Liquid18c201.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.395738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G254c201.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.061,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Liquid42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba9…8920backed Liquid77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed G246c197.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5322864.9%148 W · 80 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Liquid51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Liquid55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed G254c173$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.061,55033.9%525 W · 1,025 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked G258c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4115255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ca…eb95backed G260c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…211bbacked Liquid78c169.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.521361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked Liquid59c168.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4465…85bebacked G261c164.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.75650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Liquid72c164$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7231852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Liquid56c163$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5911245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Liquid22c162.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Liquid78c160.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8966753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Liquid54c155.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8944743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed G250c149.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77ea…9e00backed Liquid55c140.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Liquid55c136.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed G234c125.33$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.331,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed G223c125$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4c…2c5ebacked G248c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Liquid74c123.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.57054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Liquid43c122.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2929128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0186…1e2cbacked Liquid10c114.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41378.1%3 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Liquid55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608941.6%37 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Liquid59c108.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ec…70a5backed Liquid61c108.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.923557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Liquid61c100.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.467934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a2…bcdebacked G253c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e5…3adcbacked G243c97.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.332142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…5fe8backed G255c92.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Liquid57c88.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid46c83.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.524,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Liquid73c82.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked G277c78.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1310258.8%60 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f31…22d5backed G259c77.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.523372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed G254c73.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481580%12 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+91.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed G249c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.434860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Liquid18c67.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed G259c64.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7615738.2%60 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked G243c59.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7821354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked G229c58.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.755246.2%24 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ef…b8f4backed G228c53.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.451921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid46c52.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.231,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fb…c8b8backed G259c47.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223129%9 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G251c45.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf50…aca0backed G262c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.326361.9%39 W · 24 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.