TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c2a…a4bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
471
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT21937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 219 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$276.76
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Daniel Masur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$183.97
Roehampton 2: Johannus Monday vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$165.8
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$86.9
Set 2 Winner: Tirante vs Filsbacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.63
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+489.3%+$435.18
Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$115.99
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$86.81
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Alex Marti Pujolrasbacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$83.31
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.2
Sion: Gerard Campana Lee vs Theo Papamalamisbacked Gerard Campana Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.16
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$115.26
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cincinnati Open: Juncheng Shang vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$303.09
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$139.23
Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.71
Showing 25 of 219 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT7234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.1
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$69.33
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.75
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$83.05
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.02
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.38
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.64
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.16
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+320.5%+$292.78
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$432.71
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$269.21
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.42
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135.63
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$167.93
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$141
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT6159%36 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.89
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$143.22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$107.57
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.77
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$201.89
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$114.86
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.77
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.83
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$130.22
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.21
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.47
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$289.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.83
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$324.74
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$142.37
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.52
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$416.84
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.72
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.59
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.76
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$431.67
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.1
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$840
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$180.4
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$221.39
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.85
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.55
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+209%+$184.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$147.59
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$252
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$74.31
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$156
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$95.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$114.75
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$227.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$118.51
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$62.73
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$442
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$131.06
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+71.7%+$107.61
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.37
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$199.81
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$212.25
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$157.98
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$159.84
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$259.43
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$231
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$194.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,915.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+1,915.6%+$1,585.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$66.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$137.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$257.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.