NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf839e3472aa59bc1a0b04577b4ea169e3f3514b974fe0cd3b0349d718913472e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Raptors, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,386,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,632,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,386,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 45c | 215,761$96,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,535.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Magic | 55c | 186,387$101,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,738.11 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 54c | 156,369$84,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,929.57 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 52c | 126,044$65,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,407.67 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 44c | 105,000$46,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,199.98 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Raptors | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,999.97 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 56c | 90,000$50,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,599.95 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Magic | 56c | 88,767$49,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,057.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 44c | 80,000$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,199.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 23c | 77,403$17,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,918.62 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Raptors | 45c | 61,718$27,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,555.18 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 55c | 60,918$33,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,413.11 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Magic | 56c | 53,254$29,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,431.65 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 46c | 51,719$24,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,008.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Magic | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raptors | 46c | 43,303$19,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,787.52 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raptors | 46c | 40,010$18,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,302.19 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Raptors | 45c | 33,339$15,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,002.61 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Raptors | 44c | 30,000$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.95 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Magic | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.89 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 54c | 26,523$14,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,194.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Raptors | 48c | 26,171$12,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,502.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Raptors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 52c | 23,594$12,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,325.03 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 44c | 22,700$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 47c | 22,646$10,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,553.93 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Magic | 55c | 22,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 59c | 21,328$12,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,752.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…9ac5backed Magic | 56c | 21,000$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 41c | 20,174$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,846.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Magic | 53c | 20,063$10,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,429.45 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Raptors | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 44c | 20,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Magic | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.96 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 47c | 19,145$9,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,093.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Raptors | 51c | 17,771$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 21c | 17,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…6c53backed Magic | 56c | 16,731$9,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,361.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raptors | 47c | 15,917$7,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,433.18 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 54c | 15,739$8,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,209.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Magic | 52c | 15,437$8,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414.18 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Magic | 55c | 15,000$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.82 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Magic | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Raptors | 45c | 14,450$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,528.77 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Raptors | 47c | 14,000$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Magic | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.89 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Magic | 56c | 13,320$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.8 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 43c | 13,119$5,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.49 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 55c | 13,013$7,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,887.06 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 48c | 12,446$5,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Raptors | 46c | 12,187$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.78 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Magic | 31c | 12,037$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,305.25 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 45c | 11,743$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Raptors | 60c | 11,127$6,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,685.63 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Magic | 56c | 10,900$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.98 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Magic | 50c | 10,245$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.9 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Raptors | 45c | 10,028$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…0aadbacked Raptors | 0c | 10,020$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Magic | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Raptors | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Raptors | 46c | 10,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 45c | 9,455$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 53c | 9,408$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Raptors | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 46c | 8,557$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.58 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Raptors | 47c | 8,389$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.65 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Raptors | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Magic | 38c | 7,633$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.08 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Raptors | 48c | 7,427$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.81 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Raptors | 44c | 7,212$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 56c | 7,015$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Magic | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Magic | 60c | 6,964$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.3 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Magic | 55c | 6,900$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Raptors | 45c | 6,900$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Raptors | 46c | 6,808$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.38 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Raptors | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.49 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…c810backed Raptors | 47c | 6,392$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Raptors | 46c | 6,357$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.03 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Magic | 52c | 6,101$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.44 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Raptors | 47c | 6,100$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.89 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 47c | 6,065$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.06 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Raptors | 47c | 6,018$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.29 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Raptors | 4c | 6,006$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.06 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Raptors | 46c | 5,970$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.97 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Magic | 56c | 5,874$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.62 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Raptors | 35c | 5,726$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…6589backed Magic | 55c | 5,600$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 54c | 5,196$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…02ebbacked Raptors | 45c | 5,149$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…5d02backed Magic | 55c | 5,136$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…cb5dbacked Raptors | 47c | 5,100$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ff…3096backed Raptors | 68c | 5,100$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc268…7086backed Magic | 32c | 5,100$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.