NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aafc3247a383981d30adf9dc2873b8903e78316e961d71fe17ea2c70f3988db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fbc…ce06backed Magic | 51c | 48,842$24,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,932.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…31d6backed Raptors | 49c | 48,842$23,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,932.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 51c | 6,519$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…4742backed Raptors | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…57bcbacked Magic | 50c | 4,610$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…2af0backed Raptors | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e1…fd77backed Magic | 50c | 4,593$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…4fb2backed Raptors | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc4…81e0backed Magic | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…7b91backed Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9109…9056backed Magic | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…4719backed Magic | 50c | 3,825$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…a275backed Raptors | 50c | 3,810$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…c0c5backed Magic | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…8a02backed Raptors | 50c | 3,752$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 50c | 3,648$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.01 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…db5dbacked Magic | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…6f51backed Magic | 50c | 3,559$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…35c6backed Magic | 50c | 3,503$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa227…f462backed Magic | 50c | 3,471$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…5683backed Magic | 50c | 3,465$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…2acabacked Magic | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…c46bbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,289$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…fcc4backed Raptors | 50c | 3,236$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…14b9backed Magic | 50c | 3,229$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…3b93backed Raptors | 50c | 3,229$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…f320backed Raptors | 50c | 3,127$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…cc32backed Raptors | 50c | 3,077$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…6b9dbacked Magic | 50c | 3,077$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…ef37backed Magic | 50c | 3,075$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b5…4b81backed Raptors | 50c | 3,075$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…4445backed Raptors | 50c | 3,050$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…6f9ebacked Raptors | 50c | 3,048$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca8…6991backed Raptors | 50c | 3,013$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…e139backed Raptors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…7d0fbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…0304backed Magic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fb…373cbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,885$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…2db7backed Raptors | 50c | 2,872$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…d8f2backed Magic | 50c | 2,872$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…1434backed Raptors | 50c | 2,813$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…98b5backed Magic | 50c | 2,801$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…4de8backed Raptors | 50c | 2,783$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…453ebacked Magic | 50c | 2,710$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…d763backed Raptors | 50c | 2,710$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…6b32backed Raptors | 50c | 2,668$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…8122backed Magic | 50c | 2,666$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 48c | 2,480$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.19 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…dd0bbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,455$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…bdc7backed Raptors | 50c | 2,424$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…41efbacked Magic | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…35c5backed Magic | 51c | 2,077$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…2467backed Magic | 50c | 2,063$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…a786backed Magic | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…a60fbacked Magic | 51c | 2,051$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…ff2cbacked Magic | 51c | 2,044$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911a…4709backed Raptors | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…1bcdbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,036$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…5c43backed Magic | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce9…ffdcbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…6a1fbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…de35backed Magic | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 49c | 1,984$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…eb42backed Magic | 50c | 1,962$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 52c | 1,916$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.74 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…afefbacked Magic | 50c | 1,908$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e3…2beebacked Magic | 50c | 1,903$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 60c | 1,848$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4e…bde8backed Magic | 50c | 1,784$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd17…1b67backed Raptors | 50c | 1,784$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…0e02backed Raptors | 47c | 1,263$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…042fbacked Magic | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…9525backed Magic | 50c | 1,178$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ef95backed Magic | 50c | 1,155$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…7854backed Raptors | 51c | 1,076$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 48c | 1,017$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…2589backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Magic | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…890ebacked Raptors | 51c | 934$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 52c | 919$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.12 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 52c | 889.81$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.11 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1285…ddfbbacked Raptors | 49c | 878$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…2162backed Raptors | 51c | 835$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…d12ebacked Magic | 50c | 822$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…402ebacked Raptors | 51c | 819$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…2f2fbacked Raptors | 51c | 732$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Magic | 52c | 709.64$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.57 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…7d11backed Raptors | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ae…f840backed Raptors | 49c | 695$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…8648backed Raptors | 49c | 692$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…7de6backed Raptors | 49c | 690$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…12f7backed Raptors | 49c | 690$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…5d39backed Raptors | 49c | 682$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfc…18b4backed Raptors | 49c | 679$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51c…f8dfbacked Raptors | 49c | 678$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Magic | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…c6acbacked Raptors | 49c | 666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 53c | 637.69$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…a949backed Raptors | 51c | 633$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. MagicMagic won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.