NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaec4ebb4fd3ff094f996b6a574140c6b685dcffdc89398cfff0e16b5699a6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 64,299$32,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,146.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 50c | 17,624$8,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,812 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 50c | 15,200$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 45c | 11,994$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.7 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 8,210$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 50c | 7,298$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 50c | 5,200$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…f721backed Over | 46c | 4,050$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 3,979$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.78 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7e37backed Under | 54c | 3,780$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…5b7abacked Over | 46c | 3,360$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…1bc9backed Under | 54c | 3,255$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c92…21ddbacked Under | 54c | 3,150$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…3310backed Under | 54c | 2,934$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…9ae2backed Over | 46c | 2,640$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…0244backed Over | 46c | 2,560$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…3886backed Under | 54c | 2,550$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 2,529$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…7acabacked Under | 54c | 2,488$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…7a1dbacked Under | 54c | 2,471$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed9…b018backed Under | 54c | 2,432$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b65…4a8fbacked Over | 46c | 2,408$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…f77cbacked Under | 54c | 2,408$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06bb…093bbacked Under | 54c | 2,350$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 2,346$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…2e00backed Under | 54c | 2,296$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…68f0backed Over | 46c | 2,296$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 2,180$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 2,065$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…fe50backed Over | 46c | 1,855$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 1,805$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.65 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 1,771$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.43 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 1,712$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…d079backed Over | 46c | 1,544$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 54c | 1,497$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.44 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Over | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…4757backed Over | 46c | 1,390$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 1,356$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.33 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,290$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…3d90backed Over | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.37 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4e…bde8backed Under | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 922.96$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…9525backed Under | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…4681backed Over | 46c | 888$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 58c | 881.03$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…3df1backed Over | 46c | 833$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…eea4backed Over | 46c | 833$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a71…ec90backed Over | 46c | 822$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0361…a3bdbacked Over | 46c | 816$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…bdaebacked Over | 46c | 811$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…eb80backed Over | 46c | 811$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…3c9abacked Over | 46c | 789$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…f6acbacked Over | 46c | 788$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd17…1b67backed Under | 54c | 765$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4f22backed Under | 54c | 610$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 45c | 503.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.47 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 50c | 450.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 54c | 385$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 51c | 363.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…14b9backed Over | 46c | 360$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…d12ebacked Over | 46c | 345$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 342.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…d8f2backed Over | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…2db7backed Over | 46c | 315$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…3b93backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 296.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…ef37backed Over | 46c | 285$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…d763backed Over | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 51c | 261.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…453ebacked Over | 46c | 255$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Under | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b5…4b81backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 54c | 145.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Under | 56c | 144.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 44c | 143.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 140.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…df87backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…041bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 50c | 96.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 50c | 96.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. MagicMagic won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.