TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under53c99,072$52,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,417.2640446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c24,646$11,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,920.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Over50c15,593$7,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,796.521057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c13,069$6,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,926.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c12,619$6,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,590.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c11,075$5,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.7571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c9,374$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over47c8,352$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.5621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under49c5,918$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e83…e23abacked Under49c5,673$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c5,031$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4339…b6b3backed Under49c4,800$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba5…d195backed Over48c4,729$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.17650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c05…746abacked Under49c4,611$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b53…8deabacked Under49c4,566$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b4…b83abacked Over51c4,556$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bb…aabcbacked Over51c4,550$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6142…9cd6backed Over51c4,450$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcd6…80a1backed Over51c4,422$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…9e5cbacked Under49c4,200$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…ec01backed Under49c4,160$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4b…30b1backed Over51c4,111$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b4…04d1backed Over51c4,010$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ac…27c2backed Under49c4,005$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2a…2fe5backed Over51c4,005$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0087…170cbacked Over51c3,855$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9d…072ebacked Under49c3,737$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f36…4549backed Under49c3,700$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7d…2f33backed Over51c3,666$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…6e8ebacked Under49c3,663$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebc…a563backed Over51c3,660$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71aa…c39abacked Over51c3,655$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…6825backed Under49c3,650$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4263…7c89backed Under52c3,571$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45bd…cb8bbacked Under49c3,566$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Over48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.332955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc57…5f68backed Under49c3,080$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa43a…2a8cbacked Over51c2,798$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c2,690$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under52c2,665$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38418343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x287d…26afbacked Over51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under49c2,022$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.7819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over48c1,929$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.1714346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,830$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bc…0eb7backed Over51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c4…39babacked Over51c1,673$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c1,620$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.253,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c1,375$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.751,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4938…388ebacked Over51c1,228$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.232,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed9c…7854backed Over52c1,156$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683e…d079backed Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c1,073$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.582,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8a…890ebacked Over52c1,063$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,008$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0abf…4757backed Over51c972$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c29…a949backed Over52c940$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over49c918.36$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3610957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf9…402ebacked Over52c911$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d8…9525backed Over51c903$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under51c839.22$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42842648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb490…2162backed Over52c834$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd17…1b67backed Over51c801$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c770.18$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.642,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…2f2fbacked Over52c726$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4e…bde8backed Over51c696$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over47c671.28$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7818241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under53c555$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1511048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c533.27$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.73,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c487.18$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over47c475.43$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9822945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe610…f77cbacked Under49c424$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b30…255dbacked Under48c415$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f92…042fbacked Under49c409$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b20…5d2fbacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b65…4a8fbacked Under49c395$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f69…68f0backed Under49c381$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790f…c8a5backed Under48c371$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c367.18$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.843,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…3310backed Under49c367$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a8…642abacked Under48c358$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…cc32backed Under49c352$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa015…b4b4backed Under48c344$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c6…fcc4backed Under49c338$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ea…e783backed Under48c331$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd77…6b9dbacked Under49c324$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc440…8987backed Under48c324$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over47c319.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2621645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe121…e42fbacked Under48c317$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…e0d3backed Under48c314$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb2…14b9backed Under49c311$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0243…2e00backed Under49c310$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f6…8ecfbacked Under48c304$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc345…d12ebacked Under49c302$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25fa…f123backed Under48c302$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.