NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae25589d9d0de22a50568f12e414ca7f7fadc31c42dc99752429c9c363955af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 47c | 20,699$9,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,903.2 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 19,898$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 53c | 16,968$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.02 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 51c | 7,237$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 6,204$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.11 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 5,281$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0c85backed Over | 49c | 4,766$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…d761backed Under | 51c | 4,655$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1a…5b77backed Under | 51c | 4,632$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a36…3d5abacked Under | 51c | 4,609$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…b8c1backed Over | 49c | 4,566$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…aa32backed Over | 49c | 4,537$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…4310backed Over | 49c | 4,523$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…747cbacked Over | 49c | 4,477$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…ec7abacked Under | 51c | 4,450$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…02f2backed Over | 49c | 4,425$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…75e2backed Under | 51c | 4,425$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…a235backed Over | 49c | 4,411$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…ce0cbacked Over | 49c | 4,395$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…dc3bbacked Over | 49c | 4,389$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…f02cbacked Under | 51c | 4,325$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…a24ebacked Under | 51c | 4,322$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…bb41backed Under | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…b63abacked Over | 49c | 4,155$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…268ebacked Over | 49c | 4,155$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…39d2backed Over | 49c | 4,150$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…f0aabacked Under | 51c | 4,142$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…33fbbacked Over | 49c | 4,123$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7f…0b6dbacked Under | 51c | 4,023$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2327…b743backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…4f97backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8c…6470backed Under | 51c | 3,955$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…4f2cbacked Under | 51c | 3,923$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad21…a8b5backed Under | 51c | 3,900$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…996cbacked Over | 49c | 3,879$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…b3bebacked Over | 49c | 3,736$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…96e8backed Under | 51c | 3,666$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…0755backed Under | 51c | 3,665$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…83fcbacked Over | 49c | 3,650$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9f9ebacked Over | 49c | 3,542$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…6c9fbacked Under | 51c | 3,525$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9f…6e60backed Over | 49c | 3,524$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…5fd3backed Over | 49c | 3,505$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…0c09backed Over | 49c | 3,456$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1af…fa80backed Under | 51c | 3,425$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…6ed5backed Under | 51c | 3,322$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…38afbacked Over | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…6975backed Under | 51c | 3,230$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…43b2backed Under | 51c | 3,214$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…2e90backed Under | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,172$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…f30ebacked Over | 49c | 3,122$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…315cbacked Under | 51c | 3,120$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…28bdbacked Over | 49c | 3,114$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…8987backed Under | 51c | 3,114$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 3,093$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…f123backed Over | 49c | 3,092$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…228bbacked Under | 51c | 3,092$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…642abacked Under | 51c | 3,078$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…e783backed Over | 49c | 3,078$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 3,051$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…78f4backed Over | 49c | 3,033$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…0e60backed Over | 49c | 3,002$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…0861backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…26f4backed Under | 51c | 2,935$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…7887backed Under | 51c | 2,934$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…f2a0backed Over | 49c | 2,934$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790f…c8a5backed Over | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…b4b4backed Under | 51c | 2,930$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d5…4299backed Under | 51c | 2,868$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…e0d3backed Over | 49c | 2,868$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 2,846$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f6…8ecfbacked Under | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa035…129bbacked Over | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…e42fbacked Over | 49c | 2,576$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…76efbacked Under | 51c | 2,576$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…87e5backed Under | 51c | 2,535$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3293…16f2backed Under | 51c | 2,534$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…2fbcbacked Over | 49c | 2,474$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ef95backed Under | 51c | 2,372$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…255dbacked Over | 49c | 2,370$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…5d2fbacked Under | 51c | 2,370$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…de35backed Under | 51c | 2,358$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…296cbacked Under | 51c | 2,354$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…2589backed Under | 51c | 2,286$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…fe50backed Under | 51c | 2,267$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…388ebacked Under | 51c | 2,227$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4f22backed Under | 51c | 2,219$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…939cbacked Over | 49c | 2,218$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…3d90backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 53c | 2,143$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…a809backed Over | 49c | 2,123$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…2c03backed Under | 51c | 2,112$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…3390backed Over | 49c | 2,072$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…013fbacked Over | 49c | 2,054$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…041cbacked Under | 51c | 2,053$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aac…0feebacked Over | 49c | 2,052$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449b…537cbacked Over | 49c | 2,044$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. MagicMagic won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.