TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,017 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fe7…1ea9backed Over0c20,020$20 inLost-$20.02234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-92.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c5,276$73 inLost-$73.293,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Over2c4,443$89 inLost-$88.853613.9%5 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over4c2,917$127 inLost-$127.1234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over10c1,711$171 inLost-$171.16445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over10c1,550$155 inLost-$15546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c1,323$70 inLost-$69.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over10c1,001$100 inLost-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over10c978.49$98 inLost-$97.856139.3%24 W · 37 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over7c867.79$64 inLost-$63.8733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over10c596.6$60 inLost-$59.6620447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over4c503$20 inLost-$20.1259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over3c499.99$15 inLost-$157622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over10c350$35 inLost-$3512419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over7c245.46$17 inLost-$16.8451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Over8c120$10 inLost-$1018118.2%33 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe71c…4987backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$104928.6%14 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc117…78b7backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373f…36fcbacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ea…0f47backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$102416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…a53cbacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$109747.4%46 W · 51 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.