Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63407575e7f0a2ac5b423adb97aaab566cc6a5609a828c6744ac3949f86327ea

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Japanof Brazil, Japan
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,174,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,083,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,174,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Japan	74c	241,243$178,937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,305.66	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Brazil	27c	80,000$21,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,600	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Japan	70c	72,638$50,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,887.85	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil	18c	65,029$11,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,924.1	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Japan	71c	54,776$38,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,783.03	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil	31c	45,897$14,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,228	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil	30c	41,240$12,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,560.2	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Brazil	31c	32,258$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Brazil	30c	28,360$8,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,508.11	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Brazil	27c	25,695$6,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,937.66	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Japan	70c	25,000$17,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,599.98	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Brazil	29c	20,389$6,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,006.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Brazil	13c	15,554$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066.46	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Japan	72c	15,065$10,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,283.41	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Japan	72c	15,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,199.96	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Brazil	27c	14,777$3,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,973	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Brazil	32c	12,544$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Japan	70c	10,700$7,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,175.98	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3c…4474backed Brazil	30c	10,278$3,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,083.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Brazil	11c	10,099$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.08	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Brazil	14c	10,000$1,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406.82	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Brazil	30c	10,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.94	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Brazil	28c	9,537$2,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,670.45	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Japan	70c	7,978$5,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,383.9	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Brazil	28c	7,777$2,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210.89	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Brazil	27c	7,407$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Japan	69c	7,246$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,246.38	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+10.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Japan	75c	6,658$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.13	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Japan	73c	6,581$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,781.05	154	53.9%83 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Brazil	29c	6,570$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.7	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Brazil	31c	6,452$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed Japan	69c	5,826$4,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,806.21	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Japan	69c	5,800$4,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768.99	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brazil	16c	5,786$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.72	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Japan	70c	5,500$3,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,669.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Brazil	9c	5,339$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.74	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Brazil	30c	5,336$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600.83	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Brazil	1c	5,051$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.51	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Brazil	12c	5,010$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.41	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Brazil	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Brazil	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Brazil	30c	5,000$1,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.99	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Brazil	31c	4,926$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.18	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d2…73b8backed Brazil	30c	4,830$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.94	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	40cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Brazil	11c	4,569$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Japan	69c	4,218$2,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.52	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Japan	69c	4,207$2,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,303.83	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Japan	70c	4,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.99	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Brazil	28c	3,983$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.12	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa177…d3c1backed Brazil	28c	3,921$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brazil	4c	3,806$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.5	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Japan	70c	3,749$2,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.78	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Brazil	18c	3,492$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.66	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aae…3132backed Brazil	29c	3,471$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Brazil	29c	3,171$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.07	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Japan	70c	3,114$2,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.71	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Japan	70c	3,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ae…a0cbbacked Japan	71c	3,000$2,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Japan	69c	3,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.94	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Japan	69c	2,971$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.91	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Brazil	30c	2,896$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.63	113	46%52 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Japan	70c	2,811$1,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.27	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Japan	71c	2,727$1,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.63	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Brazil	15c	2,654$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.64	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Brazil	8c	2,533$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.85	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brazil	18c	2,513$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.32	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Brazil	31c	2,462$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.29	139	43.9%61 W · 78 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Brazil	30c	2,362$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.6	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Brazil	31c	2,339$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	186	26.3%49 W · 137 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Brazil	31c	2,150$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Japan	69c	2,149$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.03	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Brazil	12c	2,133$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.81	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Japan	70c	2,104$1,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.16	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Japan	70c	2,000$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Brazil	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Brazil	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Brazil	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Japan	70c	2,000$1,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.98	292	50.7%148 W · 144 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Japan	69c	2,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.97	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Brazil	30c	1,990$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.94	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-62%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Japan	70c	1,933$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.62	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Brazil	10c	1,906$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.58	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-51%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Brazil	2c	1,891$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Japan	70c	1,809$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.56	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f40…4383backed Brazil	28c	1,789$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Brazil	28c	1,782$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Japan	69c	1,778$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.18	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Brazil	30c	1,727$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.59	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Brazil	29c	1,726$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Brazil	28c	1,722$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.55	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Brazil	25c	1,700$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f70…0ca9backed Brazil	30c	1,667$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Brazil	30c	1,650$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.43	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Brazil	5c	1,598$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04a…fa0dbacked Brazil	30c	1,583$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Japan	71c	1,500$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Brazil	29c	1,500$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	268	36.9%99 W · 169 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Brazil	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.99	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Brazil	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	213	21.1%45 W · 168 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Japan	71c	1,408$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.45	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)this page
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event