Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa88d64160c4e367409ba69f416bf057f52ecd4b7dac66bb5eed49d8abfc0729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 71c | 11,983$8,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.4 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 10,568$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 15c | 1,519$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.64 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 1c | 1,206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 29c | 811.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.13 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 31c | 580$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 18c | 310$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 284.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 30c | 239.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Over | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 70c | 161.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 15c | 148.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Over | 30c | 107.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 84.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 19c | 64.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 29c | 60.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 29c | 46.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 29c | 39.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 69c | 32.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…d021backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed Under | 72c | 24.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.