Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ea3b6a5f5f43ad592ddef5aa169892e0bce349da751eac9086717e178f7a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Japan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,700,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,443,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,700,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5660…54bfbacked Brazil | 73c | 415,828$303,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,273.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Brazil | 67c | 355,038$236,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,767.69 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Japan | 29c | 260,963$75,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,113.06 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Japan | 27c | 195,792$52,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,863.83 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Japan | 37c | 187,816$69,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,915.4 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Japan | 35c | 181,956$63,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,556.56 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Brazil | 73c | 153,844$112,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,537.93 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Japan | 27c | 138,873$37,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,330.72 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Japan | 26c | 122,232$31,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,574.12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Brazil | 72c | 120,000$86,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.87 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Japan | 50c | 119,797$59,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,480.91 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Japan | 26c | 99,998$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.59 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Japan | 29c | 87,962$25,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,509.41 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil | 73c | 80,445$59,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,412.01 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Brazil | 74c | 65,995$49,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,861.79 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Japan | 28c | 61,753$17,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,037.89 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 72c | 59,599$42,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,824.28 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brazil | 73c | 58,851$43,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,850.57 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Brazil | 72c | 53,728$38,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,196.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Japan | 50c | 52,199$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,099.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Brazil | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Japan | 26c | 46,337$12,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,047.71 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Brazil | 56c | 45,868$25,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,343 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Brazil | 66c | 45,000$29,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,449.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Japan | 41c | 42,565$17,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,606.61 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Brazil | 74c | 40,310$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9753…9d8fbacked Japan | 28c | 33,774$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.28 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Brazil | 72c | 31,624$22,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,981.43 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Brazil | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…d7aabacked Japan | 27c | 28,842$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil | 66c | 28,825$19,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,748.39 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Japan | 39c | 28,000$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,039.99 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 63c | 27,975$17,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…f861backed Brazil | 72c | 27,778$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…e4e0backed Japan | 29c | 27,290$7,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Japan | 40c | 27,285$10,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,805.63 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Japan | 26c | 25,873$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,749.96 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Japan | 27c | 25,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Brazil | 73c | 24,068$17,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.37 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Japan | 27c | 23,700$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.99 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…0118backed Japan | 29c | 22,986$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Japan | 50c | 22,073$11,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,052.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…d23abacked Japan | 27c | 21,867$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,905 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Japan | 4c | 21,793$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.28 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Japan | 29c | 21,295$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.09 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Japan | 28c | 20,536$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Brazil | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed Japan | 30c | 20,000$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.82 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Brazil | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Brazil | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Brazil | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Japan | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.96 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Japan | 26c | 19,999$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.84 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Japan | 28c | 19,925$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.68 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Brazil | 72c | 19,794$14,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Japan | 28c | 19,103$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.92 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Japan | 27c | 19,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brazil | 67c | 18,984$12,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brazil | 58c | 18,773$10,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.13 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…4ea7backed Japan | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Brazil | 74c | 18,500$13,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d7b8backed Japan | 50c | 18,264$9,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,046.66 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…fe5ebacked Brazil | 74c | 17,611$13,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…affabacked Brazil | 57c | 17,424$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…eac0backed Brazil | 72c | 16,501$11,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Brazil | 61c | 16,417$10,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.15 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Brazil | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Japan | 26c | 15,120$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.58 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Japan | 29c | 15,083$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,376.25 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Japan | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…6e18backed Brazil | 74c | 14,106$10,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Brazil | 71c | 14,085$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.51 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Brazil | 74c | 14,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Brazil | 72c | 13,911$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.56 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Brazil | 71c | 13,787$9,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Brazil | 58c | 12,926$7,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.23 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Brazil | 70c | 12,893$9,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Brazil | 69c | 12,667$8,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.14 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Brazil | 49c | 12,500$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.97 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Brazil | 73c | 12,330$9,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.21 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…289abacked Brazil | 72c | 12,029$8,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.22 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Japan | 28c | 12,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Brazil | 73c | 12,000$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ebd7backed Japan | 27c | 11,852$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Japan | 30c | 11,067$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.59 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…19dcbacked Brazil | 49c | 11,046$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…18f4backed Japan | 32c | 10,914$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Japan | 50c | 10,657$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,311.01 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Japan | 43c | 10,387$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.67 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Brazil | 72c | 10,292$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.6 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Japan | 41c | 10,204$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.64 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…6bf4backed Brazil | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…5580backed Brazil | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Japan | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Japan | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.92 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Japan | 53c | 10,000$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.91 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Japan | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.96 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Brazil | 72c | 9,944$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.44 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Japan | 29c | 9,480$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.11 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…1b1bbacked Brazil | 52c | 9,367$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancethis page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.