TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fe7…1ea9backed Over0c20,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-92.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c14,504$10,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over1c13,719$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c13,382$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,161.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under71c10,737$7,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.731,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under76c10,709$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.3830054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under77c10,261$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.7564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c8,312$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under75c6,954$5,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.584746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under71c6,421$4,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over28c4,587$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.3629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over22c4,546$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Over13c2,759$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.687230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under71c2,187$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.353,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under67c1,864$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.22,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over29c1,781$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.526445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over29c1,751$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25518626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over27c1,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c1,451$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c1,438$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.052,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over18c1,345$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.933438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under71c1,329$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.871,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over29c1,310$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c1,292$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under71c1,250$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.293,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over20c1,233$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44414433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over35c1,148$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.710537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over23c1,069$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid+65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under71c991.93$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.764,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under64c939.06$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0622029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over35c923$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0525339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over13c844.82$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under75c803.6$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.623353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over2c532.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6625125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over4c529.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7635719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over3c515.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over23c506.7$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc00…7f4bbacked Over29c497.07$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Over37c471.4$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4729740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over29c470.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over31c434.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13221166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…6a32backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over15c356.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.867622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f8…6956backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.477471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over36c325.06$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.021,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x933a…8a61backed Over31c315.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.932412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under64c311.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Over33c303.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over29c296.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8612419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Under67c276.12$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.128367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over34c269.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9130642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over22c266.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5940912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under76c262.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2832356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over34c253.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over29c230.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over29c227.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6633245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c226.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.542,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under69c207$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.561,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over38c193$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3416641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c188.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under71c182.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.073,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under69c181$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.112,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under69c181$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.112,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed Over11c177.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.765335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over29c175$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7510728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Over29c173.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.215356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over29c165.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825150.6%127 W · 124 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over29c165.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7622135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee9…8e38backed Over29c161.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7710251%52 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under64c153.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.275328.3%15 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde37…3a43backed Over27c152.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.582729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over33c150$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fa…97fcbacked Over29c149.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over29c140$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.630836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Over29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under74c132.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4592732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over29c131.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.727637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.