TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under79c14,374$11,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.51,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c11,443$8,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over36c5,324$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.632835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under59c3,365$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.9420839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under77c3,209$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.912,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c3,135$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Under69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.555860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over22c2,655$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.045251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over19c2,135$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.682,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.997034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under65c1,857$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over8c1,270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…0396backed Over21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over24c1,142$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.234,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c1,113$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c1,093$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over24c913.42$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.63020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over22c718.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under74c677.03$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0322355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c663.01$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19833120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under60c591.03$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.291,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Over33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10532928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over20c490.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4621…c45abacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c406.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.212,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b7…4c27backed Under79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ed…68babacked Over41c396.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.052142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Over33c320$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.619324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9627939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over34c288.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9817948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb843…eac8backed Over30c269.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.795630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a1…f99ebacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-76.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f6c…3ae2backed Over21c229.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…9006backed Over35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over22c218.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6413936%50 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over20c195.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505752.6%30 W · 27 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x046b…81ffbacked Over22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fa…97fcbacked Over34c179.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…7cb6backed Under68c146.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.495750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa1…3807backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over23c130.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over38c130$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Over32c114.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255332.1%17 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over21c102.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.133,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad4…a675backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211952.9%63 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed Over34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346235.5%22 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under74c99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over40c97.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Over37c94.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7c…2342backed Over22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a59…53afbacked Over34c88.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f00…9990backed Over34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c84.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.373,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Over33c80.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.327230.6%22 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.630040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd787…3d15backed Over28c78.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over30c78.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5648328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under63c76.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9624843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8615…4eeabacked Over34c67.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over21c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under78c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.295865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over32c63.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57c…afc6backed Over32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…12b9backed Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b4…3865backed Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…2b88backed Over33c56.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4e…cf0abacked Over39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015036%54 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8dd…ddd2backed Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.919137.4%34 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x710c…5df6backed Under62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.