Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3600f38266ac950e0765859cf151b5e73376ebae206eb9a35ec32b6ffad07d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 3,178$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.16 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 29c | 2,802$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.69 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed No | 74c | 1,425$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 1,236$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 754.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 17c | 668.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed No | 78c | 346.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 83 | 67.5%56 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 74c | 303.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 21c | 214.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 7c | 193.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 31c | 192$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked No | 72c | 129.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 32c | 113.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…b515backed Yes | 28c | 106.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 70c | 104.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…8d18backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 75c | 92.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 26c | 77.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…2077backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 78c | 70.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…4f00backed Yes | 33c | 58.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 70c | 50.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 79c | 44.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…a58ebacked No | 77c | 23.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…d5c5backed No | 79c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.