TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$852,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,167,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $852,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Over49c298,830$147,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,033.312864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under50c223,395$112,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,697.3774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c69,803$36,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,907.084,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c31,868$16,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,332.6174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under52c13,230$6,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,888.191,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over49c11,377$5,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,802.377140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under72c8,686$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,249.562,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…451bbacked Over47c7,984$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,231.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c7,487$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over44c7,421$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,13941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over49c6,500$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,34518929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c5,740$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.542,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c5,123$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c4,901$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over49c4,189$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.634546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over48c4,170$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.414351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c3,527$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.243,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Under53c3,461$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over13c3,033$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c2,749$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under40c2,278$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c2,227$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.973259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over79c2,093$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.8120186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over39c1,945$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.614238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over49c1,910$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over46c1,781$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.384,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.747844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72e2…6610backed Under67c1,499$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005560%33 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5710432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over23c1,318$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.576947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Over21c1,270$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.38847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c1,250$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under63c1,220$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.61,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over49c1,208$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.943658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…5158backed Over36c1,196$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.2921442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a5f…6c92backed Over36c1,032$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.483732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4113754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.211155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52021957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c982.26$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.021,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over32c937.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.8129636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Over36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3312529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c830$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.625857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c825.88$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.721,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Over49c816.93$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.964934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4246845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed Over49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27e0…d036backed Over28c704.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.082524%6 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over56c679.85$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.4316750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Over30c674.17$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.922853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under13c657.11$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7113813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Over48c627.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.353237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c614.04$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.041,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over48c599.96$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9822846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Over53c565.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.248051.3%41 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c556.21$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under3c543.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under5c518.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.141,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed Under18c510.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.04263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff88…bcd5backed Under10c505.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.215223.1%12 W · 40 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd43f…16b2backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over48c499.93$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c495.04$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.823,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over48c490$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.814554.5%79 W · 66 L+12.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Over56c487.48$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.493537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over30c454.53$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.178725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.533737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over54c411.72$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4943246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2e…9e22backed Over47c411.3$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.996100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf006…20c5backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under52c384.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…dcb4backed Under21c354.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.133917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Over43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.54348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f68…8fb7backed Over37c350$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.58341%34 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Over15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.331637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3318028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Over30c331.53$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.074012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over32c312.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8116136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Over49c310$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.126738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over49c305.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1319742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under51c302.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.672,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over32c301.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.162,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311444.7%51 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Over50c288.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2515456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13519448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf7…b7e6backed Under53c245.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305949.2%29 W · 30 L+8.7wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+32%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over55c244.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1420651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.