Spread: Japan (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc485717bceac2ea78ba406d05cc32b095147db8a83e1a4dd93c99dad0f8ccc33

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Brazilof Japan, Brazil
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $736,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $848,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,017 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Japan	6c	79,999$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,799.95	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Japan	4c	50,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Japan	6c	33,943$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Japan	5c	25,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Japan	13c	24,999$3,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,324.93	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Japan	3c	12,496$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.17	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Japan	11c	10,535$1,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,182.35	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Japan	6c	10,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Japan	4c	8,392$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.29	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Japan	5c	8,254$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.72	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2054…533ebacked Japan	13c	6,154$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Japan	6c	6,133$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Japan	6c	5,833$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f4…2aaabacked Japan	6c	5,833$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Japan	5c	5,299$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.95	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x738a…b44cbacked Japan	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Japan	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Japan	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Japan	13c	5,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Japan	14c	4,529$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.37	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5a…b6b0backed Japan	4c	3,400$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Japan	5c	3,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Japan	5c	2,382$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.26	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Japan	5c	2,222$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Japan	14c	2,157$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Japan	6c	2,056$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.34	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Japan	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Japan	5c	1,909$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.45	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Japan	5c	1,900$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	129	27.1%35 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Japan	13c	1,710$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.21	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Japan	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14bc…aa14backed Japan	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ad…6254backed Japan	4c	1,637$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.47	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	+5.8wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Japan	10c	1,482$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.49	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked Japan	4c	1,365$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Japan	5c	1,333$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Japan	6c	1,290$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.43	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Japan	5c	1,250$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.64	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked Japan	14c	1,199$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.9	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Japan	13c	1,199$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.12	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Japan	6c	1,186$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.45	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Japan	5c	1,105$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.37	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Japan	9c	1,104$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.95	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Japan	6c	1,101$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6e…15f0backed Japan	4c	1,100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Japan	13c	1,003$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.04	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bca…ca1fbacked Japan	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Japan	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	29.7%71 W · 168 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Japan	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Japan	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Japan	13c	999.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Japan	5c	999.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	235	40.4%95 W · 140 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Japan	8c	992.21$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.34	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Japan	12c	978.99$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.5	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Japan	5c	929$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.45	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Japan	4c	869.56$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.04	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf182…6225backed Japan	12c	835.2$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.04	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b34…c6efbacked Japan	14c	800$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Japan	5c	785.21$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked Japan	12c	781.51$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Japan	13c	769.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97d3…1c30backed Japan	13c	760$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.84	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-54%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Japan	9c	743.58$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.22	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Japan	13c	740.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Japan	14c	735.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Japan	5c	700$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	135	30.4%41 W · 94 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Japan	8c	696.58$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.44	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Japan	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Japan	2c	555.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc8…5555backed Japan	9c	520$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…0f15backed Japan	6c	518.43$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.16	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ae5…6aa2backed Japan	12c	509.24$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	67	25.4%17 W · 50 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6087…61e8backed Japan	6c	508.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Japan	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	94	17%16 W · 78 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Japan	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	33%29 W · 59 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x204c…1e26backed Japan	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Japan	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e9d…e7b4backed Japan	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9119…3328backed Japan	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Japan	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…47dbbacked Japan	5c	486.2$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac0…037abacked Japan	6c	473.33$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Japan	5c	471.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Japan	13c	444.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Japan	4c	427$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.99	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Japan	5c	400.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.04	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Japan	13c	400$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc82e…de2abacked Japan	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Japan	6c	400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083f…7486backed Japan	13c	373.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee5…dc0dbacked Japan	12c	371.95$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.15per pick	22cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Japan	14c	367.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	226	22.1%50 W · 176 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Japan	6c	335$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	22.6%35 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Japan	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Japan	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	41.5%88 W · 124 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfb…de25backed Japan	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	44.1%49 W · 62 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Japan	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	24.8%29 W · 88 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Japan	4c	329$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Japan	6c	326.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe136…dca2backed Japan	6c	316.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Japan (-1.5)this page
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event