Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2dd0fd4b157226dfb31bcb1eb16682199b4a34d0d603cfe3ccb936674a7f957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 0c | 21,020$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 5,735$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 5,063$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 15c | 3,070$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 16c | 1,897$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 11c | 1,517$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…e6d2backed Yes | 17c | 1,075$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 18c | 1,010$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 71c | 788.23$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 17c | 744.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 16c | 717.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 17c | 664.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1dcdbacked Yes | 17c | 550$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 8c | 509.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 80c | 500.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 27c | 468.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 7c | 442.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 21c | 290$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…b61abacked Yes | 17c | 285.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Yes | 17c | 279.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…3865backed Yes | 16c | 228.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Yes | 16c | 221.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…bda6backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…bc1cbacked Yes | 34c | 182.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 17c | 164.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 79c | 139.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…df97backed Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…c269backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…2077backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…cbc8backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…df6abacked Yes | 19c | 105.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 21c | 87.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 83.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 16c | 81.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 17c | 81.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 68.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab8…b5eabacked Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…a11bbacked No | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 68c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.