TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,294,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,319,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,294,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 841 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c264,778$70,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,469.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c53,970$39,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,739.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under26c49,995$13,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,207.551,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over72c41,090$29,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,417.151,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over70c39,342$27,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,989.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over72c30,999$22,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,699.2851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd76b…b010backed Over72c30,102$21,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,428.64540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under37c29,116$10,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,802.3825038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Over73c28,766$21,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,726.0910057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under28c26,177$7,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,327.2647144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under28c24,000$6,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,754.9750243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under28c24,000$6,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,759.9348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under28c20,606$5,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,741.6947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under23c17,954$4,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096.871,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under28c16,800$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9944144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Over72c15,000$10,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.987455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over71c12,199$8,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.7270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over79c12,070$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.2165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under2c12,002$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0215929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under28c10,000$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.9847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9427039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under29c8,426$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under29c8,284$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.5877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under13c8,171$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.9844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96c…5580backed Over71c8,000$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over73c7,995$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c7,877$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.771,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c7,853$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under17c7,166$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.5374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Over71c7,042$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.253663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under44c7,037$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.34856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Over73c6,998$5,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.4814347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under2c6,984$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under4c6,855$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9819218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under21c6,627$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.6744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under15c6,533$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c5,850$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.062,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over74c5,405$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.418672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over79c5,063$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.294870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under29c5,018$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.3236250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c60…f4fcbacked Over71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c4,965$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under2c4,617$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under5c4,506$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9917827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under4c4,500$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.944740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under9c4,367$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.919525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under29c4,300$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c4,186$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.2330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over71c4,151$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.72466.7%16 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under27c4,096$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.91,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under21c4,024$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under26c4,012$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.6330626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under27c4,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over80c3,818$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c3,779$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.832,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed Over71c3,773$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401c…6f40backed Under29c3,725$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.367157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under27c3,596$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.288047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under30c3,583$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.6819744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under2c3,290$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under28c3,200$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89637850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…063ebacked Over72c3,200$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over63c3,042$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.5113461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over70c3,000$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under3c2,957$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over72c2,926$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.3933544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over72c2,875$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.5777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.1414546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under1c2,836$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.92642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.95743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Over71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.97163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under28c2,800$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae4…7084backed Over73c2,732$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.2313453%71 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under4c2,721$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8214544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under30c2,697$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.413837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under28c2,680$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.611,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c2,544$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over75c2,540$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe573…0a38backed Over71c2,535$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.211163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over71c2,457$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.641,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under28c2,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under37c2,241$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.2642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under27c2,152$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under36c2,019$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.6311558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…3902backed Over78c2,010$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9de…9353backed Over73c2,010$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.633961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52019062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over71c1,952$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under29c1,944$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over79c1,943$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.7138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under6c1,900$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11613542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over63c1,878$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under26c1,851$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under30c1,833$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over55c1,830$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.519850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under28c1,798$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.271,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under27c1,784$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.462,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.