Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064d10bf45774ed4c791c6ad150a794017e2357ac188b83d01adedd0b503d84f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,033,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,086,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,033,487 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under	15c	510,716$75,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,661.15	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	9c	38,187$3,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,414.5	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	8c	25,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	8c	13,747$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.03	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	9c	11,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	7c	9,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.99	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	8c	8,172$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.4	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	200	53%106 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	8c	6,179$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	234	40.2%94 W · 140 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under	7c	6,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	8c	5,810$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.23	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,444$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.44	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	10c	4,028$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.21	441	30.8%136 W · 305 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under	14c	3,999$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.52	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	12c	3,758$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.77	362	35.9%130 W · 232 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	8c	3,641$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.52	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	7c	3,468$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.78	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	18c	2,200$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	3c	2,200$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.61	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	12c	2,180$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.53	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under	8c	2,150$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	8c	2,000$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.11	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Under	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under	9c	1,833$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under	7c	1,681$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.49	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	9c	1,544$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.16	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	7c	1,529$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.82	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Under	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Under	2c	999.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	3.8%2 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	9c	900$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.51	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d90…6563backed Under	17c	876.24$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.96	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	8c	790.49$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.24	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	8c	758.9$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.71	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	8c	679.46$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under	9c	666.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	288	22.6%65 W · 223 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under	7c	628.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.43	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under	6c	577$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	96	8.3%8 W · 88 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	7c	517.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.23	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Under	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under	14c	448.21$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.68	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52da…191abacked Under	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	7c	413.53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.34	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Under	8c	401$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6baa…0276backed Under	11c	392.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	7c	321.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.79	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Under	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	231	24.7%57 W · 174 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under	8c	276.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…8f39backed Under	8c	245.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	8c	239.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.31	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Under	12c	238.24$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under	9c	210$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	107	15%16 W · 91 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	8c	206$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.48	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	8c	200.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.04	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Under	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	8c	196.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0243…b5a5backed Under	9c	187.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	8c	169.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	436	53.7%234 W · 202 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Under	9c	155.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	+12.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90e6…87a4backed Under	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	8c	139.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Under	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	267	20.6%55 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	10c	105$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	113	7.1%8 W · 105 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5this page
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event