Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56670ddfce56ab6bf712990b635d96a9e5351c5f83ee3d44a67553e0427cdd7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Over | 0c | 21,020$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 1,294$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 48c | 1,199$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.48 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 773.29$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.87 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 611.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 509.08$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 299.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 31c | 220.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…479fbacked Over | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 51c | 190.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…cde6backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Over | 54c | 111.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Over | 51c | 104.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…a22bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 76.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 61.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 45c | 58.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 36c | 55.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…f1d2backed Over | 52c | 40.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…a158backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…e6babacked Over | 51c | 33.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…b5a5backed Under | 50c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 48c | 30.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 26.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 49c | 20.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 52c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceBrazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Japan won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.