TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c19,365$7,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,933.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over60c19,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under40c11,084$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.5729740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under40c4,621$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.0738026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over60c3,375$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3502,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over60c3,113$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.331,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Over55c2,716$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.926435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Under40c2,478$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.439821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c2,127$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.652,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.2222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3411750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under51c1,461$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over60c1,304$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.492,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…0085backed Over60c1,209$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under42c1,113$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5721937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Over59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.999354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c929.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3314946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under39c820.43$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d87…0f1abacked Under41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe50…b05cbacked Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c635.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.033,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over60c616.67$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6712556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over60c507$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Over57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Over59c457.63$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.631338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0196…d9f9backed Over60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.677736.4%28 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under40c397.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9421044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa095…6040backed Under20c333.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.76263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a51…ce14backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.336940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12367354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over60c298.33$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3312654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under22c286.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.22,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under40c265.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1533245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c234.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Over57c224.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.083537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over59c222.05$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1535848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7715040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over58c200.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3423427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…e077backed Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8013329.3%39 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under40c197.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under40c184.21$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6842853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over54c179.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1323544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21eb…f4ddbacked Over52c169$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.13847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b7…1fddbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ed…68babacked Over60c164.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x120e…8907backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9310155.4%56 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.41,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…0b45backed Over60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf323…b0d7backed Over60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Over57c132.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.517856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under40c132.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9736543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under40c131.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.861,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x401c…6f40backed Under44c130.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.87157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c129.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.591,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under40c124.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b7…f258backed Over59c122.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.32544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c116.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.671,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over80c116.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over80c104.17$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8310940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under40c102.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.943,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under40c102$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over61c95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3530040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over59c90$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c87.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.111,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2115041.3%62 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c85.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.339743.3%42 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f44…27cabacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326530.8%20 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba4c…858fbacked Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over70c73.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.971,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b9…8069backed Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af7…860abacked Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…7143backed Under40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.43735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd17…3818backed Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.575360.4%32 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c65.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under40c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Under29c62.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0329341%120 W · 173 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Over80c60.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.057358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.655942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over62c50.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.052,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Over59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.