TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d87…0f1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$84
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$95.04
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92%+$95.99
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Wimbledon ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Filsbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.98
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$150
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$216
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+202.9%+$2,042.99
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$412.5
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,012.01
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,305.6
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$268.37
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.68
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,103
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640.23
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.92
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruudbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.33
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boissonbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,058Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$924.62
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.25
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$328
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$286
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$446.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$303.34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$297
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$191.4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$971.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,619.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$512
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,502
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,347Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,755.08
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.