Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64988c4013141341a7640898de385a7655d74013d277a09add4a33a588512f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Learner Tienof Alex Michelsen, Learner Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 368 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25cb…03a3backed Alex Michelsen | 51c | 35,080$18,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,010.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Learner Tien | 56c | 33,841$18,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,871.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Learner Tien | 70c | 20,811$14,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Alex Michelsen | 49c | 20,000$9,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,798.26 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Alex Michelsen | 20c | 19,000$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Michelsen | 25c | 16,581$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.77 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Learner Tien | 74c | 14,545$10,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.96 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Learner Tien | 60c | 14,340$8,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.32 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Alex Michelsen | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.96 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Alex Michelsen | 48c | 10,078$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.49 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 9,634$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.06 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Learner Tien | 63c | 9,180$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…cad3backed Learner Tien | 52c | 6,026$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.67 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Alex Michelsen | 27c | 5,816$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.98 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Learner Tien | 66c | 5,700$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.59 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex Michelsen | 48c | 5,487$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.89 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Alex Michelsen | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.98 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Learner Tien | 67c | 4,577$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.24 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 4,210$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.49 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Learner Tien | 52c | 4,161$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.16 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Alex Michelsen | 29c | 4,125$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.61 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Learner Tien | 52c | 3,808$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.69 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Learner Tien | 59c | 3,705$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.42 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Alex Michelsen | 49c | 3,596$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.22 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Learner Tien | 52c | 3,492$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.71 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…0f1abacked Alex Michelsen | 48c | 3,398$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…23e5backed Alex Michelsen | 48c | 3,076$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Learner Tien | 52c | 3,053$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.44 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Learner Tien | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Alex Michelsen | 49c | 2,835$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Learner Tien | 73c | 2,751$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.6 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Learner Tien | 70c | 2,748$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.16 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 2,720$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Alex Michelsen | 43c | 2,527$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.08 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Alex Michelsen | 28c | 2,490$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.33 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Learner Tien | 50c | 2,286$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.13 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Learner Tien | 49c | 2,270$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Learner Tien | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 2,010$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Alex Michelsen | 29c | 2,005$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Alex Michelsen | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Learner Tien | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Learner Tien | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Alex Michelsen | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Learner Tien | 76c | 1,985$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.32 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Learner Tien | 51c | 1,946$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.62 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Michelsen | 33c | 1,893$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.11 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alex Michelsen | 51c | 1,837$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.99 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Alex Michelsen | 51c | 1,787$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.16 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex Michelsen | 53c | 1,647$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Alex Michelsen | 13c | 1,615$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Alex Michelsen | 51c | 1,548$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.4 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Learner Tien | 71c | 1,525$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…d958backed Learner Tien | 53c | 1,499$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Alex Michelsen | 41c | 1,460$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.8 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Learner Tien | 52c | 1,440$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 1,380$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Alex Michelsen | 32c | 1,251$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Learner Tien | 49c | 1,237$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.73 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 1,235$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Alex Michelsen | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Learner Tien | 70c | 1,188$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.62 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alex Michelsen | 20c | 1,179$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Learner Tien | 58c | 1,141$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Learner Tien | 59c | 1,125$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.23 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Alex Michelsen | 37c | 1,100$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…9a48backed Learner Tien | 50c | 1,093$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.24 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…be6dbacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 1,078$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Alex Michelsen | 19c | 1,060$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Learner Tien | 66c | 1,058$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.24 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Alex Michelsen | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 1,030$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.52 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Alex Michelsen | 49c | 1,030$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…2e69backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 1,029$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…fa5cbacked Learner Tien | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Alex Michelsen | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Alex Michelsen | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Learner Tien | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Learner Tien | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alex Michelsen | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Alex Michelsen | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Alex Michelsen | 26c | 961.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Learner Tien | 54c | 930$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Alex Michelsen | 35c | 922.01$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Alex Michelsen | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Learner Tien | 49c | 918.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.36 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Alex Michelsen | 46c | 900.02$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Alex Michelsen | 45c | 860.84$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Learner Tien | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Alex Michelsen | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alex Michelsen | 28c | 774.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Learner Tien | 48c | 770.58$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.7 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…d312backed Learner Tien | 54c | 755.07$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Learner Tien | 61c | 726.45$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Alex Michelsen | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Learner Tien | 49c | 714.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Learner Tien | 61c | 686.72$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Alex Michelsen | 45c | 655.76$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Learner Tien | 71c | 639.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Alex Michelsen | 33c | 632.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienthis page
- Alex Michelsen vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Michelsen vs. Tien: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs TienTien won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.