TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,733,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,897,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,733,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No71c1,738,669$1,230,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507,959.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes45c1,543,858$699,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699,999.12123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No60c1,243,139$749,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493,405.1374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Yes28c1,209,491$338,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338,657.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes26c250,348$66,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,036.282,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes0c246,315$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes27c229,013$61,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,833.558932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes28c214,246$59,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,988.9515337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c200,136$54,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,600.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes27c200,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,999.967839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No72c184,364$132,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,621.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No74c179,997$133,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,799.2522348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No50c160,352$80,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,324.0956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No72c124,000$89,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,219.949948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes30c105,850$32,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,067.7538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No73c94,090$68,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,677.14161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes59c76,188$44,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,582.6217550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No46c71,977$32,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,014.5675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No75c70,829$52,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,993.2524441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No63c69,503$43,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,965.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes27c68,391$18,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,465.453426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed No68c67,000$45,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,3204445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No57c64,999$37,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,799.6927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No71c63,694$45,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,560.7415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No44c61,445$27,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,356.491,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x217b…c168backed Yes33c60,607$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No69c60,227$41,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,871.329952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes59c58,789$34,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,586.1114232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No68c53,927$36,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,514.2821738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c53,657$38,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,981.551,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No62c51,888$32,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,491.7936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c51,192$31,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,135.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes27c50,240$13,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,564.7318740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes30c50,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9817840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes27c45,562$12,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,305.1415131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Yes27c41,864$11,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,254.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c40,996$11,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,135.891,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No72c40,957$29,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,588.7113037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No72c37,300$26,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4413842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Yes27c37,037$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No53c31,861$16,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,065.2914132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No72c30,078$21,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,421.788845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No65c28,947$18,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,002.362,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No72c27,433$19,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,74733549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c27,171$18,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,820.031,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c26,862$19,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,769.6942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes40c26,245$10,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,412.931,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes28c25,961$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3503426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes27c25,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7504353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Yes27c24,074$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes45c23,638$10,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,672.7232429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9b…be73backed Yes60c23,596$14,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,157.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No74c22,333$16,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,806.558660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes31c21,341$6,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,511.6731945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No53c21,337$11,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,122.4919738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No43c20,652$8,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,771.5920560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes26c20,060$5,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.5617733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No72c19,621$14,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,472.6147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes11c19,321$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.59225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes27c19,130$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No71c17,446$12,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,144.4411942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No72c17,063$12,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.697126.8%19 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x472b…5d5fbacked Yes24c16,572$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No72c15,778$11,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.61,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No43c15,359$6,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,754.1549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes59c15,254$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00010057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes31c14,477$4,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.422448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed No52c14,271$7,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,788.977432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No73c13,219$9,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.067740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c13,059$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.2579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No72c12,873$9,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.461,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No47c12,819$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,819.2220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes24c12,800$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No67c12,728$8,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed No54c12,500$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-59.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes28c12,290$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.9629333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes32c12,249$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.5742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No73c12,000$8,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.9529646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No69c11,933$8,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.9431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Yes44c11,740$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,207.237537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c11,357$8,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.5350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No71c11,226$7,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.6216357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No40c11,111$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,645.4919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3980…2d8bbacked Yes29c11,071$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.491952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No73c11,037$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.0744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Yes34c10,735$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c10,149$7,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked No67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes7c9,999$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked No70c9,851$6,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.911047.3%52 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d5e…0d8fbacked Yes29c9,849$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.623718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes47c9,716$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,54027239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe74e…e900backed Yes27c9,560$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.382846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No74c9,500$6,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.9548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes28c9,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No73c9,000$6,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.9586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007f…58dabacked Yes53c8,950$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7507243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No72c8,947$6,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.8784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…24a1backed Yes23c8,696$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.