TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,245,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,401,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,245,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked Yes61c1,825,969$1,115,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710,310.032846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c1,366,713$582,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,054.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No40c972,941$392,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,807.4774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes47c694,073$328,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365,242.9564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes49c527,618$257,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270,585.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked No53c367,303$195,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,350.651560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Yes46c300,000$137,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,390.2115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No56c289,238$161,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,834.3829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c284,649$156,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,909.352,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes45c242,471$109,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133,266.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No55c209,695$114,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,865.747343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c168,249$87,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,656.421,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba45…ee26backed Yes59c166,230$98,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,039.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+98.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No47c164,467$78,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,066.721,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No54c141,006$75,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,733.2514843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No53c140,000$74,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,2007839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c117,098$50,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,677.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c116,166$55,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,746.73,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes55c88,888$49,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,666.2742345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No47c76,450$35,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,952.8721738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No46c68,701$31,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,821.251,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c64,987$29,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,194.511,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No55c61,411$33,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,972.9856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed No1c59,178$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.4234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No42c53,887$22,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,574.515642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes46c50,000$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No49c47,850$23,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,320.7324441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No42c46,754$19,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,580.0813037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes67c46,235$31,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,092.914232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes58c44,112$25,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,397.1432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes47c40,275$18,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,361.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No54c39,748$21,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,463.6813330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No16c36,819$5,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,982.2418738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked No53c36,013$19,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,257.038258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes47c34,615$16,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,345.9520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No39c33,333$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.8711642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Yes47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,899.939451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No39c28,432$11,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,066.6738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes43c27,287$11,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,506.855523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No49c27,105$13,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,259.6136939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes33c25,562$8,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,126.5549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes40c25,488$10,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,398.2427345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No49c25,181$12,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,362.332,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Yes44c24,000$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,422.855545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf0f…28cebacked Yes50c23,764$11,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,779.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c22,997$12,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,987.0276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed No53c22,000$11,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,660.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked No54c22,000$11,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8809247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed0…6f18backed Yes46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes47c20,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,70024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e3…aaf2backed Yes47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,600250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86b…e4e0backed Yes41c19,061$7,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,325.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c18,060$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No18c17,612$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.762,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…0196backed No54c17,000$9,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,250875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes43c16,614$7,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,474.811,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes33c15,425$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,268.781553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes2c15,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,7001468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes41c15,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8509839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes29c14,999$4,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,595.0418837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes49c14,292$7,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,231.527239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Yes49c14,070$6,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,190.033268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes46c14,000$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,56024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Yes50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0005343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes48c13,959$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,258.682920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No54c13,000$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.9313959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes34c12,573$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,345.1910753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes58c12,130$7,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.6120856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No53c11,671$6,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,217.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes43c11,510$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,560.75234.6%18 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes45c11,352$5,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,235.0314132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd189…06f4backed No72c11,000$7,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,927.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-77.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes58c10,961$6,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.0119818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No24c10,956$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.5720333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a71…a47ebacked Yes61c10,953$6,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.611051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes43c10,851$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,161.057129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f63…e539backed Yes79c10,520$8,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.511866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No56c10,474$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.9831232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No52c10,182$5,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,288.5331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes47c10,001$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.548660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30013748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Yes46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No55c10,000$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,459.9818843.6%82 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99db…97eabacked No53c10,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007f…58dabacked Yes44c9,944$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,553.817243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes45c9,831$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,407.1213151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.928648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No54c9,697$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.6833549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes46c9,662$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,202.1998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes50c9,492$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,730.5836634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes47c9,129$4,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.372642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe617…f251backed Yes78c8,947$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.021872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed No46c8,636$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes46c8,460$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.415843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes70c8,123$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.6410059%59 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Yes70c7,999$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Yes77c7,770$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.4110057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes32c7,731$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.5511254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1bf…2121backed No53c7,560$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.81040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.