Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597e0e209cef883bb95c6905f07d8066c3ef35652087d3611c43b93f0ed237c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,361,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,166,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,361,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,086 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes | 51c | 3,837,262$1,949,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949,848.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 50c | 1,782,909$885,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897,327.05 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes | 47c | 1,063,828$499,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499,999.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…a698backed No | 47c | 1,049,999$489,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560,499.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…2672backed Yes | 50c | 1,000,000$500,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…4a23backed Yes | 54c | 925,925$500,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499,999.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked No | 52c | 779,993$405,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374,396.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 51c | 708,214$359,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349,009.25 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 50c | 704,441$353,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350,675.55 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 647,526$330,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317,381.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 47c | 638,834$298,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340,416.08 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 48c | 613,329$294,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318,332.61 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked No | 52c | 577,000$300,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276,960 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 529,247$252,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,368.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 53c | 500,000$266,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,379.53 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…36aebacked Yes | 51c | 438,908$223,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,843.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 365,566$181,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,350.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 47c | 338,531$159,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,748.41 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked No | 50c | 335,694$167,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,846.92 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed No | 48c | 329,991$158,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,595.49 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Yes | 53c | 320,552$169,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,892.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 51c | 300,000$153,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,999.95 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 49c | 288,509$139,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,578.63 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 53c | 255,433$135,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,350.42 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 250,880$127,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,511.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 48c | 239,390$115,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,542.02 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 50c | 206,934$103,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,466.87 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 49c | 200,167$98,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,471.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,000 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 46c | 199,998$91,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,998.92 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 53c | 198,618$105,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,483.83 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes | 50c | 196,336$98,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,167.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 49c | 194,484$95,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,297.06 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 52c | 173,939$90,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,448.2 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 50c | 158,709$80,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,591.12 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 41c | 158,259$65,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,337.5 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 139,846$70,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,580.19 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 52c | 131,255$68,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,002.4 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 51c | 118,213$59,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,292.27 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…419abacked Yes | 50c | 117,312$58,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,656.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 51c | 116,480$59,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,075.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…6dd9backed Yes | 52c | 116,181$60,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,651 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 48c | 104,167$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed No | 47c | 99,999$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,999.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 47c | 96,831$45,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,624.88 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 50c | 93,326$46,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,726.19 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 52c | 92,511$48,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,105.82 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 61c | 81,271$49,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,019.52 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…c168backed Yes | 51c | 77,678$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 51c | 75,308$38,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,164.41 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 75,233$33,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,695.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 54c | 74,074$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 47c | 71,737$33,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,117.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 49c | 67,222$32,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,414.89 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Yes | 51c | 66,828$34,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,314.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 47c | 64,010$29,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,135.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…2121backed No | 50c | 63,200$31,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,287.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 62,628$15,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,846.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…d4e2backed No | 50c | 60,600$30,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No | 47c | 60,000$28,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,600 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.97 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…04a9backed Yes | 52c | 58,069$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked No | 51c | 56,500$28,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,920 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 49c | 56,400$27,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,764 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Yes | 52c | 56,000$29,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,260 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…9bb0backed Yes | 49c | 55,791$27,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,337.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes | 54c | 55,556$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 52c | 55,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.92 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 53c | 53,972$28,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,308.72 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 52c | 52,500$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.92 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked No | 51c | 51,979$26,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,469.71 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 53c | 50,429$26,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,667.89 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 47c | 50,245$23,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,629.67 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…9d94backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 50c | 49,999$24,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,999.45 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Yes | 53c | 49,572$26,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,259.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Yes | 52c | 49,000$25,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,480.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked No | 50c | 48,000$24,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,890 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 50c | 47,728$23,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,746.08 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 50c | 46,784$23,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,483.48 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 50c | 45,381$22,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,768.13 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed No | 50c | 44,444$22,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,222 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 47c | 43,420$20,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,802.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 49c | 43,039$20,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,985.82 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 54c | 41,675$22,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,471.26 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 50c | 40,706$20,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,340.69 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 50c | 40,390$20,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250.53 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.92 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 47c | 39,656$18,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,075.11 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ca76backed Yes | 51c | 39,215$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 49c | 36,610$17,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,773.3 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 50c | 33,740$16,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,951.81 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 46c | 33,659$15,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,174.09 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 52c | 33,436$17,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,386.83 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 32,203$12,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,652.94 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 54c | 31,870$17,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,644.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 34c | 31,513$10,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,716.29 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 50c | 31,233$15,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,665.16 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?this page
- Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.