TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,361,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,166,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,361,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,086 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes51c3,837,262$1,949,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949,848.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No50c1,782,909$885,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897,327.0574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes47c1,063,828$499,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499,999.292123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5848…a698backed No47c1,049,999$489,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560,499.431866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05a3…2672backed Yes50c1,000,000$500,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Yes54c925,925$500,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499,999.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked No52c779,993$405,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374,396.623360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c708,214$359,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349,009.252,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No50c704,441$353,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350,675.5514139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c647,526$330,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317,381.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No47c638,834$298,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340,416.085942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No48c613,329$294,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318,332.6156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked No52c577,000$300,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276,960862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes48c529,247$252,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,368.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes53c500,000$266,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,379.539142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…36aebacked Yes51c438,908$223,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,843.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c365,566$181,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,350.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No47c338,531$159,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178,748.416048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No50c335,694$167,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,846.928063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed No48c329,991$158,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171,595.497346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Yes53c320,552$169,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169,892.582729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed No51c300,000$153,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,999.9517034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No49c288,509$139,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,578.639948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes53c255,433$135,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,350.4215337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes51c250,880$127,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,511.462,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No48c239,390$115,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123,542.029943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes50c206,934$103,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,466.873441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No49c200,167$98,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,471.67343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0007839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes45c200,000$90,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No46c199,998$91,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,998.9222139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes53c198,618$105,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,483.8338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes50c196,336$98,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,167.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes49c194,484$95,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,297.0611642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes52c173,939$90,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,448.214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No50c158,709$80,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,591.1229952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes41c158,259$65,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,337.524441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c139,846$70,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,580.191,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No52c131,255$68,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,002.420844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c118,213$59,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,292.2742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes50c117,312$58,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,656.142055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No51c116,480$59,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,075.27447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a2…6dd9backed Yes52c116,181$60,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,651560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes48c104,167$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No47c99,999$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,999.552646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No47c96,831$45,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,624.889247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes50c93,326$46,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,726.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes52c92,511$48,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,105.8217452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No61c81,271$49,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,019.5215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x217b…c168backed Yes51c77,678$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,000.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes51c75,308$38,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,164.416159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes45c75,233$33,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,695.872,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Yes54c74,074$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0002755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No47c71,737$33,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,117.554858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No49c67,222$32,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,414.895244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Yes51c66,828$34,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,314.384841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No47c64,010$29,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,135.262941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1bf…2121backed No50c63,200$31,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,287.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c62,628$15,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,846.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582b…d4e2backed No50c60,600$30,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No47c60,000$28,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,60013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.9715950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…04a9backed Yes52c58,069$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0002050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No51c56,500$28,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,92017852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No49c56,400$27,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,7647941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Yes52c56,000$29,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,2601127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc4f…9bb0backed Yes49c55,791$27,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,337.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes54c55,556$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed No52c55,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,499.9214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No53c53,972$28,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,308.721,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No52c52,500$27,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.9214349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No51c51,979$26,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,469.7117447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No53c50,429$26,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,667.8936939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No47c50,245$23,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,629.677843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,5004353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…9d94backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No50c49,999$24,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,999.4553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db5…cc23backed Yes53c49,572$26,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,259.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1396…62b5backed Yes52c49,000$25,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,480.194540%18 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked No50c48,000$24,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,89012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No50c47,728$23,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,746.0850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No50c46,784$23,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,483.4847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No50c45,381$22,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,768.1348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed No50c44,444$22,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,2223661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No47c43,420$20,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,802.86149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes49c43,039$20,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,985.8279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes54c41,675$22,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,471.2619332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No50c40,706$20,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,340.6916835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No50c40,390$20,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,250.5347144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.9227039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No47c39,656$18,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,075.1110056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61e4…ca76backed Yes51c39,215$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No49c36,610$17,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,773.311642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No50c33,740$16,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,951.8177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No46c33,659$15,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,174.099322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes52c33,436$17,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,386.837455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes39c32,203$12,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,652.941,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No54c31,870$17,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,644.757545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes34c31,513$10,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,716.2932429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No50c31,233$15,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,665.1644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.