TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,853,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,749,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,853,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No76c1,273,808$961,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,879.4574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes24c750,000$179,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,816.169142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes25c272,002$68,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,040.4924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c258,135$194,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,818.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes26c258,109$67,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,607.182,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes28c250,053$69,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,724.932,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes23c246,179$55,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,571.0938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No71c245,054$173,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,065.733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes28c199,999$56,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,999.8322348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55f9…8615backed No77c95,213$73,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,959.831850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes25c89,226$22,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,302.172,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c86,056$63,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,823.71,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c72,786$53,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,080.931,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked No76c71,178$54,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,078.488952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed No76c69,999$53,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,899.845967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No74c64,109$47,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,570.793842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No74c63,667$47,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,418.541,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c61,359$11,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,670.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…1d97backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No66c49,387$32,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,020.3566846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No76c48,067$36,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,707.8310550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes24c42,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0802055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes29c38,950$11,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,127.3833337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c38,469$10,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,314.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Yes23c38,000$8,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,739.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed No76c36,773$28,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,705.882755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes28c35,714$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes42c33,347$13,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,851.642043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No74c30,586$22,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,016.7542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes30c30,170$8,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,983.0731945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes28c30,000$8,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,299.929642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes27c27,344$7,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,382.7621343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fe…a599backed Yes29c26,824$7,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,779.150%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x217b…c168backed No76c26,316$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,315.831952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Yes68c26,179$17,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,802.8110544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c25,251$18,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.8476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c24,444$18,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.9231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No69c24,306$16,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,540.3714542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No74c24,100$17,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,158.9610251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Yes9c23,375$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0904845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes6c22,607$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.6215335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No78c22,119$17,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.4836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes29c21,937$6,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,352.168037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes11c21,923$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4007632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c21,668$15,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,771.6829952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239d…0f3fbacked Yes24c20,833$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No74c20,492$15,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,427.878450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3994…62acbacked Yes28c20,147$5,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,641.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No62c20,036$12,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,513.898332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c19,709$14,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.7628162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes26c19,231$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes7c18,763$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No74c18,686$13,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c18,522$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,711.7179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…6dd9backed Yes27c18,519$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked No74c16,682$12,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.5811254.5%61 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes24c16,600$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,98424526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes23c15,326$3,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,580.065117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No73c15,152$11,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.472,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes26c14,745$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,871.1724443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes44c14,666$6,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,447.422959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c14,425$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.743,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No79c14,228$11,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.6113037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c14,050$10,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.5156541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No74c13,971$10,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.1717235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed No73c13,931$10,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a5…137dbacked Yes26c13,462$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed No75c13,333$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.334870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c13,258$4,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,303.182,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes26c13,092$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.3811559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed No77c12,987$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.017753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…fb48backed No72c12,958$9,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.763938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15f…4497backed Yes26c12,819$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33312754.3%69 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes27c12,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes24c11,896$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.2717852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c11,878$8,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes25c11,620$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9008214.6%12 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes19c11,563$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.552,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes26c11,422$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00022448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No72c11,235$8,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.738943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes25c11,111$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.7519038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No74c10,720$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.215863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c5…fffebacked Yes1c10,554$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010426.9%28 W · 76 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes25c10,459$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6119225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes21c10,368$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.3210753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No72c10,174$7,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.6127520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1b…6edfbacked Yes23c9,889$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Yes13c9,802$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.5618929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes15c9,482$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.315123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No75c9,439$7,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.4911942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b3…cdd5backed Yes24c8,999$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes29c8,828$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.2731232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663b…2308backed Yes27c8,738$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-72.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Yes20c8,510$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.9411254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No74c8,168$6,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.447442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes23c8,166$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.1810959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes25c8,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.9914226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No74c7,924$5,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.1950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.