TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,629,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,445,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,629,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9703…69c2backed No68c254,901$172,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,289.6429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes31c165,965$51,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,44933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes33c148,485$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c148,021$101,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,416.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No69c117,089$80,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,297.577343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes32c100,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde29…89b1backed Yes31c100,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,999.951915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No67c94,644$63,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,640.910740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes40c78,698$31,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,831.3917840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No79c75,036$59,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,410.022,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c70,218$21,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,505.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes33c64,700$21,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,090.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes32c62,500$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No69c46,329$31,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,507.2624441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No76c42,257$32,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,098.3221738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No68c39,999$27,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,799.818943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No71c39,932$28,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,602.5714542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes12c33,403$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.3166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed No69c33,024$22,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,237.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No67c32,565$21,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,746.619247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes6c30,622$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.3610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No66c27,269$18,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,258.137269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c26,002$4,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,345.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c25,403$17,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Yes18c25,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50010840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed No69c24,200$16,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5025349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes11c22,391$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.0736939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes22c22,270$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.8518047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c21,689$14,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,038.241,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes13c21,494$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.6726534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes6c21,143$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.110655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c20,911$12,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,241.851,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No67c19,999$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.8438026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes34c19,811$6,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,726.66119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-86%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes38c18,286$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes30c17,338$5,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,123.96134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No77c16,285$12,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,765.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes31c15,554$4,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.743938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No67c15,250$10,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.55244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes33c15,152$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes33c15,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.9913742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No68c13,600$9,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3526645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed No68c12,925$8,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1361957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c12,823$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.343,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes33c12,586$4,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.3717452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes33c12,100$3,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9936833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes5c11,183$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.0316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes32c10,469$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3509443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c10,266$7,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes32c10,008$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,202.6311421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No67c9,267$6,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.278450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1518…2652backed No68c9,141$6,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.171457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes32c8,830$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.6870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes23c8,730$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes19c7,634$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.271,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Yes35c7,420$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5973754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c7,221$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.6679231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No67c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31011642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…210abacked Yes1c7,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563625%9 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No68c6,986$4,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.614553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc330…e776backed Yes7c6,866$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.3%54 W · 113 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes6c6,845$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.699053.3%48 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes1c6,750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No67c6,542$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.423842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed No67c6,435$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.017353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4b…8d1fbacked Yes33c6,258$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.091723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Yes32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes6c6,190$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c5,869$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.9376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039e…624fbacked No70c5,822$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Yes35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No68c5,450$3,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.7929333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No78c5,442$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.1610550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes6c5,357$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No69c5,270$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.79948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes33c5,152$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…ec1bbacked Yes0c5,016$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6505219.2%10 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-52.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes33c4,847$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.6521444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed No68c4,800$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.988254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No68c4,548$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.6923255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed Yes33c4,505$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4662842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c4,495$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.9256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ac…2613backed Yes11c4,440$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes25c4,360$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.451,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes6c4,354$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No69c4,077$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.8514342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Yes29c3,999$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.713545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes33c3,939$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes37c3,897$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.075123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Yes33c3,684$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.