TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,992,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,085,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,992,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes64c1,204,359$765,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438,609.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No37c284,400$105,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,227.973138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No36c201,200$73,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,431.976145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No36c137,413$49,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,468.6850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No35c96,949$33,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,932.299154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No36c78,125$28,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,124.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No36c59,067$21,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,506.4610539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No0c50,469$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.866235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,499.999743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No36c47,259$16,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,840.585964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No43c46,892$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c36,696$13,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,063.637321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No22c36,400$8,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,113.941414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-73.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No16c35,941$5,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,739.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes76c34,922$26,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,378.0457139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No37c31,400$11,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,6186243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes66c25,360$16,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,601.3119840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No36c24,726$8,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,787.443444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c23,888$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.686127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No25c21,565$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,461.3915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes73c21,295$15,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,649.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c21,272$7,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,656.441,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No36c19,150$6,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8945442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes74c18,316$13,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No36c16,136$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.675831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No37c15,800$5,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8461926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6252075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No32c15,369$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,963.5699933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c14,466$4,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,952.431,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No36c14,220$5,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,119.22441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…a8bcbacked Yes63c12,596$7,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,660.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No37c12,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4106746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.995232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c12,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.967922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No14c11,798$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No36c10,549$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.2640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c10,137$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.563,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7008828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No35c9,550$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3543135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c9,234$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.64777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes77c8,782$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No9c8,211$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.0721322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc829…cad3backed Yes64c8,003$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes67c8,000$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No33c7,957$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.15853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No35c7,837$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.312556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes67c7,463$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.691968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes73c7,424$5,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.1420142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c7,292$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.892,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No21c7,187$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.413844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No35c6,888$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.82040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No37c6,777$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.492222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes67c6,685$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.294634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes63c6,111$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.114946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked No18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No35c5,472$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.8222455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.217553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No34c4,961$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.695749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes62c4,633$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.5714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No6c4,585$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.934665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No42c4,572$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No35c4,529$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.993548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc52f…3ee8backed Yes66c4,352$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.523100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes64c4,000$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.9819255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d87…0f1abacked No36c3,794$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes67c3,747$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.172254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No35c3,741$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.4522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No34c3,529$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No37c3,442$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.543941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No37c3,442$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.542445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No37c3,318$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa584…067ebacked No36c3,201$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No36c3,200$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0504100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9908160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No23c2,753$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.521,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No22c2,718$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.2968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes77c2,702$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.8321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes45c2,534$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.83148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes65c2,533$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.910145.5%46 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No36c2,528$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.082740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No33c2,523$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.841751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8503…6666backed Yes79c2,514$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No36c2,400$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8649457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes76c2,396$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No35c2,260$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.1748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…23e5backed No36c2,184$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No37c2,124$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.7913046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4180…3f85backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes79c1,991$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.334247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes66c1,968$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.1849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No37c1,896$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5240%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes65c1,790$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes79c1,769$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7513658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No24c1,697$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.