La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00af5bd43c6964a7a39246c7eeffc3b53899f1b84ed5781384f01b2fc2a0b185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 17c | 37,136$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.11 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 27,023$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.04 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 16c | 11,187$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.85 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 10,315$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.98 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 1c | 9,395$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 4c | 7,066$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 15c | 6,057$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.52 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…70f1backed Yes | 2c | 5,754$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 2,802$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 2,550$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…878fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,467$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 4c | 1,427$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,364$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 1,355$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 14c | 1,331$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…63f6backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 4c | 866.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 18c | 722.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 4c | 702.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 4c | 649.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +222%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 569$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 464.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 15c | 455.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 443.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…98b8backed Yes | 4c | 418.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 5c | 368.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 322.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…85f5backed Yes | 15c | 316.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…cc99backed Yes | 4c | 311.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 310$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…ca64backed Yes | 4c | 251.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2c3ebacked Yes | 15c | 230.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 17c | 229.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 220.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Yes | 15c | 213.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 166.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 13c | 153.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Yes | 18c | 107.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 16c | 102.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.