La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d7f6e50a3645c18979106320bc751f0a72b052b5647e5c3868be8d8b4619ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 21c | 4,826$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 3,797$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.52 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 80c | 3,492$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.4 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 79c | 2,914$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.86 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 80c | 2,885$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,876$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.33 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 1,860$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.38 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 1,530$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.96 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,474$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 20c | 1,439$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 1,412$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.44 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 926.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 9c | 833.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 15c | 770.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 80c | 540$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 7c | 491.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 20c | 475$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 19c | 454.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…ed7ebacked Yes | 5c | 429.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 80c | 344.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 10c | 343.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 79c | 307.35$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 19c | 239.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 80c | 221.16$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…21a6backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Yes | 16c | 191.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 9c | 157.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…85bfbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Yes | 20c | 117.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…8357backed Yes | 20c | 101.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 97.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 93.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 86.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 85.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 80c | 80.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 19c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 20c | 74.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Yes | 20c | 67.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…477fbacked Yes | 20c | 66.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 20c | 65.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 80c | 62.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 19c | 60.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 21c | 52.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…dcdebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…4ee3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked No | 80c | 49.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 32.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.