Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b6d6630d49e6513355ff045c96439c929335cb0d18da7792dea6c2fc717ead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,987,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,941,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,987,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 9,891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed No | 34c | 1,999,994$679,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679,997.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 33c | 1,548,261$507,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507,901.61 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 64c | 1,239,849$792,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447,168.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 40c | 648,032$261,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261,829.89 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 66c | 610,760$403,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,658.4 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 575,414$239,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,053.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…f568backed No | 34c | 449,999$153,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,999.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 402,693$258,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,621.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 38c | 379,999$145,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,399.53 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 67c | 350,087$234,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,528.56 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 38c | 309,277$118,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,378.46 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 33c | 299,997$98,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,999.02 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…df79backed Yes | 67c | 297,044$199,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,024.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 286,182$118,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,145.14 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 68c | 210,000$142,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,200 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 33c | 200,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed No | 33c | 197,996$66,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,318.53 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 66c | 178,880$117,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,385.91 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 65c | 174,172$114,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,140.33 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bc8abacked Yes | 67c | 149,254$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,253.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 72c | 147,803$106,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,866.46 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 139,857$93,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,315.97 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 62c | 134,419$83,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,911.32 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 33c | 132,682$43,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,838.83 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 128,138$42,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,763.24 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa407…ca38backed Yes | 67c | 125,483$84,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,409.43 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Yes | 67c | 124,925$83,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,225.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 48c | 124,595$59,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,789.4 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 66c | 115,959$76,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,553.22 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 68c | 114,488$77,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,573.38 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 33c | 113,436$37,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,736.53 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 34c | 109,696$37,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,296.63 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 33c | 106,580$35,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,683.26 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 103,846$70,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,405.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 34c | 103,373$34,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,904.8 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…3111backed Yes | 48c | 101,705$48,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,736.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Yes | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 27c | 90,217$24,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,236.13 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 72c | 86,000$62,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,839.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 33c | 82,934$27,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,369.26 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 34c | 81,888$28,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,021.99 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 35c | 71,522$24,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,975.67 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Yes | 61c | 70,000$42,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,599.92 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Yes | 48c | 65,937$31,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,287.24 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…9210backed No | 33c | 62,062$20,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,480.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…b7bdbacked Yes | 67c | 61,231$41,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,206.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 34c | 60,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 33c | 59,999$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,799.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 34c | 59,998$20,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.28 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 52c | 57,559$29,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,842.41 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 2c | 55,984$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.66 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…7fd4backed Yes | 66c | 53,897$35,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,325.13 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 65c | 52,565$34,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,363.29 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes | 66c | 50,300$33,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,102 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 2c | 50,245$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.81 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed No | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 33c | 49,999$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 34c | 49,963$16,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,949.68 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…33febacked Yes | 50c | 49,603$24,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,044.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 67c | 49,475$33,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,384.51 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…9f2abacked No | 33c | 49,330$16,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,379.03 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…8652backed No | 52c | 49,139$25,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,552.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 48c | 48,011$23,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,174.49 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 47,554$15,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,786.69 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 34c | 45,197$15,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,209.35 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 66c | 44,403$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,902.99 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes | 67c | 43,158$28,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,242.23 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed Yes | 55c | 41,666$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,566.53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 26c | 40,212$10,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,415.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 33c | 39,999$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.7 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 50c | 38,786$19,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,237.39 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 33c | 38,000$12,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,540 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 33c | 37,090$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,239.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…d6dcbacked Yes | 55c | 35,786$19,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,103.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 34c | 35,294$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 48c | 35,077$16,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,240.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 11c | 34,000$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.73 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Yes | 67c | 33,000$22,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,890 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 33c | 32,999$10,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,889.76 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…de5bbacked Yes | 68c | 32,722$22,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,471.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 31,325$20,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 61c | 31,000$18,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,230 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 33c | 30,601$10,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,104.37 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed No | 33c | 30,497$10,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,064.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,303.03 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,303.03 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,303.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 33c | 29,999$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.83 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 67c | 29,686$19,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,796.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 52c | 28,879$15,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,861.98 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 65c | 27,900$18,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,808 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f23…1018backed Yes | 67c | 27,808$18,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,176.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Yes | 65c | 27,418$17,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,530.93 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?this page
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?No won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.