TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ac2…be3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinnbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.9
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140,510.22
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101,404.88
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardtbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,367.57
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69,204.61
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$9,138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+337.7%+$30,862.29
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129,677Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$49,197.6
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,846.88
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198,900.8
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$199,365.04
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31,863Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$38,163.52
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Pedro Martinezbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45,865Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$19,872.61
Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,470.15
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30,695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+193.2%+$59,304.51
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,872Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$19,127.78
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zhengbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,367.04
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17,956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$9,317.14
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,699Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$14,300.79
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,591.3
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18,262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,262.4
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101,549Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$78,246.44
Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31,411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$19,085.06
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$75,439.4
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$8,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,808.85
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29,123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$11,508.86
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$497,812Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42%+$209,305.09
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$101,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101,933.81
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$178,582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$84,909.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111,396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$52,235.73
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56,250
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$129,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$55,406.92
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,685.61
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97,044.85
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$369,678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$246,452.05
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$54,209.25
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$368,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$202,441.95
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,945.85
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$347,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$123,843.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142,222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+71%+$100,969.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$145,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$145,950.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.