NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1fdf0c6c2e6410bf0f938b9eec41025f887261d6d6153d59b13ccbae62ab3d8

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,269,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,310,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,269,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	47c	270,655$127,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,409.21	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers	53c	250,000$132,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117,500	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	52c	247,575$128,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,950.23	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers	52c	204,370$106,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98,097.39	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons	48c	200,000$96,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96,000	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Pistons	48c	156,011$75,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,000	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Pistons	47c	108,643$51,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,062.01	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	48c	88,952$42,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,696.88	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9ac2…be3dbacked Pistons	48c	74,345$35,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,685.61	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons	48c	45,500$21,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,719.98	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers	52c	29,000$15,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,920	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Cavaliers	52c	25,000$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,999.99	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers	52c	21,999$11,439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,559.52	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Cavaliers	53c	17,907$9,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,407.38	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Cavaliers	53c	17,000$9,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,990	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers	53c	15,849$8,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,449.06	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons	49c	14,377$6,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,973.96	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers	52c	13,550$7,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,504	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers	51c	12,845$6,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,294.18	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Cavaliers	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,700	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers	52c	9,956$5,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,778.67	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons	47c	9,478$4,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,487.12	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Pistons	48c	7,717$3,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,704	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pistons	47c	7,636$3,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,604.48	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	52c	7,287$3,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,789.21	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	50c	7,159$3,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,565.06	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	52c	6,981$3,663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,318.71	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Cavaliers	49c	6,000$2,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,069.99	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…55a2backed Cavaliers	48c	5,392$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,792.1	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+105.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Pistons	35c	5,174$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.95	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Pistons	48c	4,791$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.81	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-10.8wins	-0.24per pick	46cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Cavaliers	52c	3,857$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.1	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.58	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Pistons	46c	3,387$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.46	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	52c	3,277$1,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.16	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers	52c	3,090$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,490.27	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Cavaliers	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4842…4024backed Cavaliers	51c	2,914$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,427.86	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers	52c	2,732$1,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.31	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons	47c	2,659$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.73	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cavaliers	59c	2,589$1,537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,051.95	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pistons	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Pistons	49c	2,327$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.29	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cavaliers	52c	2,222$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.56	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed Pistons	46c	2,207$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021.89	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Pistons	47c	2,165$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Cavaliers	53c	2,056$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.32	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers	46c	1,802$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$971.41	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Cavaliers	52c	1,743$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.94	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons	52c	1,513$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.98	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons	47c	1,500$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.97	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	47c	1,459$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.59	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers	52c	1,279$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.71	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	49c	1,265$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.94	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	63c	1,239$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.99	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Pistons	48c	1,200$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Pistons	68c	1,145$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Cavaliers	52c	1,100$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.2wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Pistons	23c	1,068$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.41	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed Cavaliers	52c	1,067$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Pistons	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Pistons	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Pistons	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Pistons	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Pistons	49c	1,025$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Pistons	48c	1,016$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.6	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Pistons	62c	1,012$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.43	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pistons	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Pistons	53c	999.99$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Pistons	47c	999.95$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.98	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	46c	991.38$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.38	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Cavaliers	53c	989.06$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.86	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Cavaliers	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Cavaliers	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Cavaliers	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Pistons	45c	873.37$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.63	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Cavaliers	53c	858.93$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.95	194	45.9%89 W · 105 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons	47c	856.33$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.37	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cavaliers	52c	826.99$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.96	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Pistons	48c	789.58$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+9.8wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons	53c	738.88$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.53	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Cavaliers	53c	714.77$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.94	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Cavaliers	52c	700$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers	43c	699$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.43	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Pistons	30c	675.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	67c	649.54$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.63	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Pistons	48c	620$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.67	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons	47c	578.81$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.04	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Cavaliers	53c	566.04$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.04	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Cavaliers	53c	566.04$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.04	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Cavaliers	53c	562.26$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.26	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Pistons	46c	554.85$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.17	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons	53c	522$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.44	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event