TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x623b…8fac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$1,751.63
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$335.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915.59
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.04
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,224.56
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$485
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.45
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.03
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$1,394.97
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,521.31
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.99
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$890.98
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,757Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$1,853.3
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$520
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$743.9
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,504.63
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.72
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.04
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.18
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.1
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$966.02
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$456.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.69
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.18
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.67
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.86
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.88
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$1,287.53
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$1,330.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$1,243.23
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,267.73
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+109%+$1,111.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$338.83
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,821.47
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$821.97
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempobacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$1,311.11
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$200.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.