TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sara Saitoof Varvara Panshina, Sara Saito
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Varvara Panshina25c14,980$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Saito72c5,264$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.932,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sara Saito75c4,588$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.496,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Varvara Panshina41c4,365$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.2710642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Varvara Panshina31c3,391$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.856,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0753…d174backed Sara Saito57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.79825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Varvara Panshina18c2,467$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.842,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Varvara Panshina23c2,175$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.344,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Varvara Panshina20c2,007$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.8129533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Sara Saito77c1,931$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.891,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Sara Saito76c1,909$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.211,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Varvara Panshina20c1,598$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.121,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Varvara Panshina40c1,395$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.86633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sara Saito76c1,199$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.317,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Varvara Panshina48c1,100$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.025151%26 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Sara Saito60c709.43$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.771,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Varvara Panshina15c660.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.954,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Varvara Panshina27c537.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4191755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Sara Saito51c491.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4121448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Varvara Panshina15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.563648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Sara Saito65c344.63$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.691,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Varvara Panshina18c319.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.818132.6%59 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Sara Saito63c316$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.521,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed Varvara Panshina17c304.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.147450%37 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sara Saito77c289$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.471,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Sara Saito77c287.55$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9836657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Sara Saito48c268.33$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.672,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Varvara Panshina48c248.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.453,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Varvara Panshina17c226.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.775,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sara Saito79c223.2$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.173,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Varvara Panshina51c213.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Varvara Panshina53c188.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Varvara Panshina21c170$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.348235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Varvara Panshina21c168.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.39150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b9…7e45backed Sara Saito68c161.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick68cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sara Saito73c147.04$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.76,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Varvara Panshina13c141$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0192046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Sara Saito77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8787854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Sara Saito74c127.49$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.275248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Varvara Panshina11c127.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Varvara Panshina8c126.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…7fdfbacked Varvara Panshina37c125.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.056139.3%24 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Varvara Panshina28c124.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.211,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Varvara Panshina15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Varvara Panshina16c102.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.330931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Varvara Panshina52c93.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0289859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Sara Saito76c91.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9275350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…1e80backed Sara Saito49c90.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.416953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Varvara Panshina50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.945451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Sara Saito72c79.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Sara Saito69c73.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sara Saito73c67.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked Sara Saito50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.24641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Varvara Panshina24c53.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6268857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Varvara Panshina20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Sara Saito56c48.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2119637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…3535backed Varvara Panshina53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sara Saito62c41.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.536,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Sara Saito58c41.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1925452%132 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Sara Saito73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.148355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Sara Saito72c40.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.435570.9%39 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Varvara Panshina30c40.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261755.9%345 W · 272 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Sara Saito75c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.737981%64 W · 15 L+15.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Sara Saito54c38.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.842,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Sara Saito80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…6c08backed Varvara Panshina53c37.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.715550.9%28 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Sara Saito74c34.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9e…457cbacked Varvara Panshina47c34.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Varvara Panshina44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Varvara Panshina52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Varvara Panshina49c29.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.743243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Sara Saito75c26.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7123427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Sara Saito77c25.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Sara Saito47c25.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.357842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cda…299fbacked Sara Saito55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Sara Saito63c23.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.774346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe24…3919backed Sara Saito80c22.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.515770.2%40 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Sara Saito76c22.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.317358.9%43 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sara Saito67c21.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Sara Saito48c21.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.143,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Sara Saito56c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6445053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Sara Saito79c18.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9115854.4%86 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Sara Saito71c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5322755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Sara Saito80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.