TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22ed…3535

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Tennis at 49 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.35
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.74
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.18
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$567.89
Spread: Canada (-4.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.73
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156.44
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.21
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.33
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$231.42
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$405.85
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.9
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.96
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+201.5%+$603.6
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.78
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.11
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.73
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$29.36
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.26
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$37.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Parma: Pedro Martinez vs Daniel Rinconbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.89
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Moutetbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$21.12
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saitobacked Varvara Panshina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.