TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,380,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,808,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,380,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,996 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x89dd…f662backed G250c577,636$290,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290,379.866940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked G238c299,999$113,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,699.6714050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Team Falcons62c125,000$77,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,499.9120354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons40c75,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,00076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons61c75,000$45,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.9850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons63c69,864$44,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,747.2964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Falcons68c59,278$40,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,923.8325355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons44c59,143$26,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,018.3617643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G259c52,538$31,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,180.6981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G236c50,914$18,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,329.0341649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked G252c49,155$25,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,398.3741040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed G238c47,333$17,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,986.6123839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked G240c42,500$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,199.8775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked G240c38,234$15,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,251.196464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Team Falcons60c38,135$22,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,430.857047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Team Falcons50c35,724$18,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,719.1220448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Team Falcons47c35,119$16,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,744.0422354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons63c34,615$21,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,807.4821655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Team Falcons63c31,712$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,712.3116443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Team Falcons39c30,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,3005742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed G237c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.8217951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Team Falcons58c27,902$16,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,771.7412660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Team Falcons47c26,422$12,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,031.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G240c25,854$10,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,341.7921048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G243c25,003$10,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,670.661,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed G237c23,183$8,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,561.4813244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Team Falcons63c20,635$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,634.9210361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed G238c19,729$7,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,581.4718624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons63c19,703$12,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.1338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Team Falcons64c19,202$12,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,912.725444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed G238c17,500$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6503351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons54c17,428$9,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,003.992,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed G237c17,191$6,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,346.8946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Falcons62c16,919$10,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,364.356243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons63c15,855$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,854.9625751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked G234c15,691$5,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,298.811,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed Team Falcons64c15,625$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6252564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons56c15,168$8,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,707.8236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Team Falcons63c15,002$9,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,550.9410935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed Team Falcons52c14,199$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,779.262152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Team Falcons62c14,018$8,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,334.4228455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Falcons50c14,000$7,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,97012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Team Falcons39c13,840$5,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,442.2633359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed Team Falcons80c13,400$10,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.992564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Team Falcons55c13,132$7,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,964.928256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Team Falcons39c13,000$5,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9304151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons60c12,868$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.3417737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Team Falcons39c12,666$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,726.2634559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79be…b605backed G234c12,087$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1226245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Team Falcons62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons54c11,831$6,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,442.7925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G249c11,756$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.352,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons63c11,669$7,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.2897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G245c10,536$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,773.841,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked Team Falcons48c10,106$4,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,264.511675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G243c10,094$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.041,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Falcons38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.932673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed G237c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9216449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed Team Falcons60c9,999$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons46c9,967$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,409.591,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cb…03edbacked Team Falcons62c9,477$5,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Team Falcons56c9,412$5,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.920745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G244c9,285$4,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Falcons46c9,176$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.92,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked G246c9,112$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.0429127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G231c9,040$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.21,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G237c9,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.9811638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G247c8,500$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,004.9766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed G243c8,489$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.6642154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed G252c8,127$4,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,250.6210056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf048…3f29backed Team Falcons39c8,070$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,922.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed G252c8,050$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.4864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.9830340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3e…d91ebacked G261c8,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons44c7,874$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.1812749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked G225c7,777$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.0322129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked G252c7,661$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked G267c7,330$4,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,894.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G229c7,161$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.212,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Team Falcons62c7,000$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,66011655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Team Falcons61c6,925$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.34652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked G243c6,717$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.633844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G249c6,708$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.3787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G247c6,647$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.241,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Falcons63c6,591$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.1625147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons60c6,530$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.648350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G238c6,466$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.435,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7625…78dbbacked Team Falcons63c6,349$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Team Falcons62c6,265$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.7219245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons45c6,262$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.5320041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Team Falcons56c6,165$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.1219849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Team Falcons60c6,158$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.9835236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons54c6,150$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.816,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Team Falcons63c6,036$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.324250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb754…96dfbacked G238c6,034$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.43839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed G237c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Falcons51c6,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.249248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G247c5,847$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.271,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons61c5,791$3,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons52c5,751$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.8632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.