TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Team Falcons, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons54c20,000$10,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,895.3550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.9867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons36c10,388$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.8217643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G265c6,884$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.1123848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed G241c6,601$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,887.635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G264c5,971$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.1211638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G262c5,764$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.4923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G264c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed G264c4,500$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6204264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G250c4,452$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2261,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed G265c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4009551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Team Falcons38c3,924$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed G265c3,900$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3764647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G263c3,654$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.631,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Team Falcons36c3,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26011434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G265c3,430$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.935,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G261c2,976$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.4936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed G250c2,627$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.6655738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G264c2,373$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.622,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G264c2,343$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.4860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons36c2,246$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.2618547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G253c1,999$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.112,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Falcons36c1,733$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9829839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Team Falcons36c1,614$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58110635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9913646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Team Falcons38c1,329$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons35c1,323$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.7985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed G265c1,308$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.711957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons38c1,247$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4741,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Team Falcons40c958.82$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed G262c942.11$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3586940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G264c932.75$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.762,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Team Falcons38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34240558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Team Falcons38c878.95$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3349443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons36c830.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed G265c757.95$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2816544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked G241c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.717644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed G241c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7111354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed G241c696.83$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed G250c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30025747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked G262c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22820643.7%90 W · 116 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed G242c567.83$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.12,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Falcons36c555$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.838650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Team Falcons34c555$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.725344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G261c554.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.451,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed G265c512$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4426155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed G242c503.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.329146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked G264c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed G264c500$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17855941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x884b…661cbacked Team Falcons36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809429.8%28 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed G251c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.671,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Falcons35c443.39$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1929044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x525f…6401backed Team Falcons38c441.61$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703850%19 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Team Falcons36c427.78$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Team Falcons37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Team Falcons36c381.72$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4215349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Team Falcons30c360.53$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.783743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed G265c344.2$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2114544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Team Falcons38c336.84$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed G255c334.08$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.341,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed G265c303.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.062638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked G265c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0948242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Team Falcons36c296.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.886829.4%20 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed G264c293.75$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.758348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Team Falcons37c266.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5411044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons38c265.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed G265c246.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1521942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons36c234.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed G256c233.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2821949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons35c233$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.535839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed G265c228$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.826650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed G263c221.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2437453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed Team Falcons37c216.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9113545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Team Falcons38c215$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.732357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons36c203.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4148845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed G263c200.71$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2999148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Team Falcons37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Team Falcons37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked G263c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7458254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed G264c195$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons36c195$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.227744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Team Falcons37c194.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.071,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Team Falcons36c182.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.579549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed G265c167.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.577152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons34c159.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1821945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed G264c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2524055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Team Falcons35c151.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed3…01e3backed Team Falcons39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.57936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Team Falcons35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Team Falcons36c138.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.787149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…fcdabacked Team Falcons37c133.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.256056.7%34 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed Team Falcons38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012761.4%78 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed G263c128.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.417045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Team Falcons35c121.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6917758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed G265c109.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.812,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.