CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab94c7f5fb72c019d35864b35476ed6f9c3503aa42e2169d51b09d71ab0e95b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 3,946$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.07 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 48c | 2,860$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.27 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 54c | 549.71$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 54c | 548.39$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…df09backed Over | 47c | 321.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 53c | 298$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 53c | 293.5$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 46c | 287.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 246.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 79c | 211.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 204.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 62c | 202.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 181.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…281fbacked Over | 62c | 135.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 132.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…41d9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Under | 11c | 103.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 94.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 33c | 91.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 77.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 25c | 72.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 48c | 67.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 51c | 41.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…eb54backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…53cbbacked Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 53c | 36.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…fdacbacked Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…fae6backed Over | 48c | 30.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 28.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 48c | 28.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…ea1fbacked Over | 48c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.