TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked MOUZ47c25,684$12,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,071.57040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0111…1071backed FURIA53c22,200$11,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4342564%16 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FURIA58c19,445$11,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,186.381,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed MOUZ39c12,419$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.887157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bb7…fbfabacked MOUZ41c12,340$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+266.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ36c5,750$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07025555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA64c5,573$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.521,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed FURIA60c5,398$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.0719659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA65c4,406$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.3288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ51c4,383$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.171,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ49c4,273$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.7921048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA63c4,257$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ7c4,008$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0422129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA65c3,998$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.531,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed MOUZ40c3,550$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41722253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ52c3,528$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.7521251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ34c3,261$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA68c3,165$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.061,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed MOUZ18c2,946$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0515749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ36c2,688$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.6223249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FURIA66c2,610$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9938868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA69c2,538$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.431,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ36c2,300$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.993164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed FURIA63c2,250$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.494165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed FURIA80c2,222$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.298564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked FURIA70c2,182$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7235745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ31c2,050$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.4918056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed FURIA53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.9929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA67c1,786$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…d461backed MOUZ15c1,638$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked MOUZ15c1,612$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5862738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ22c1,609$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.764,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed MOUZ46c1,452$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.922152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed MOUZ49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70017554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ27c1,379$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.386,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed MOUZ51c1,370$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.2642651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ38c1,228$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6361034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed FURIA59c1,205$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.835953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ29c1,182$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.415,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ26c1,128$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2412642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked FURIA54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.219546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ38c1,098$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.2215053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed MOUZ47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb3…4268backed MOUZ37c1,004$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.871650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ21c1,001$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.222,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed MOUZ51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51018442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed FURIA59c999.99$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41013360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MOUZ46c997.95$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0639548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed MOUZ46c954.61$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.9385851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x281d…6adfbacked MOUZ36c939.99$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FURIA54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed MOUZ33c903.91$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2422444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked MOUZ33c876.5$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.262850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked MOUZ38c871.57$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.29549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked FURIA58c836.27$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2117250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FURIA62c791.86$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.232,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed MOUZ43c749.98$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3421143.1%91 W · 120 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked FURIA54c727$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.658942.7%38 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…fe5dbacked MOUZ42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked MOUZ38c688.06$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.994452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FURIA61c661.51$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.364,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA60c648.11$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.267,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed MOUZ52c644.77$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.285655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed FURIA65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3813253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked FURIA60c599.99$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24220944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed FURIA70c598.4$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9913655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA76c593$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.922,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed FURIA65c579.4$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7412759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked MOUZ36c575$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed MOUZ37c574.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.754252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ15c570$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA75c567.04$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.871,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed FURIA58c545$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8737440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed MOUZ37c520.78$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1621135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ48c500.3$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3143640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed MOUZ25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed FURIA70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked MOUZ35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17528443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked MOUZ34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17019849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked MOUZ41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked FURIA53c499.97$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.998149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…6044backed FURIA63c498.89$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.553865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA78c496.51$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.473,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c33…412ebacked MOUZ41c492.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ49c490.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ49c477.28$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.879146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed MOUZ42c469.05$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed MOUZ47c460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.232042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed MOUZ49c459.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22523757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked MOUZ33c454.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8713043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed MOUZ40c448.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8536555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked MOUZ52c421.73$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.330450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked FURIA52c416.12$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7435460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed FURIA62c414.44$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.491353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa6…9d71backed MOUZ49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ36c392.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.253,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x435f…2de6backed MOUZ35c387.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.796354%34 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.