CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf55999483d1371cdc948c9471da87c263f9e5cdd491730eff381a23c78625b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof FURIA, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 65c | 762.2$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.18 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FURIA | 36c | 426.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed FURIA | 33c | 370.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed FURIA | 36c | 269.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed MOUZ | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…bd92backed FURIA | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…8c35backed FURIA | 49c | 202.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed FURIA | 49c | 142.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 66c | 129.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked FURIA | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 100.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed FURIA | 36c | 85.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked FURIA | 36c | 76.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FURIA | 38c | 46.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked MOUZ | 61c | 28.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed MOUZ | 66c | 26.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 24.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.