CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c7e0f254e1ee87d511d243a540e10f831e391787296030736cab44703c5548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 1,781$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.37 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 52c | 852.02$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.74 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 734.25$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.13 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…8d0bbacked Over | 49c | 553.3$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 35c | 404.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 399.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Over | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 48c | 187.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 13c | 181.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 51c | 129.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 119.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 103.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Over | 50c | 102.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187d…9b50backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…6972backed Over | 50c | 97.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 67c | 89.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 56c | 85.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…30aabacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…3ea5backed Over | 50c | 80.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed Over | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 36c | 78.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3812…e4b0backed Under | 61c | 76.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 29c | 74.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 74.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 49c | 71.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Under | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 75c | 67.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…0f24backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 63.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 52c | 58.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…281fbacked Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Under | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 52c | 57.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 56.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Over | 56c | 53.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 52c | 48.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Under | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…89b6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 34.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Under | 50c | 33.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked Over | 49c | 32.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…0dfebacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…4688backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 52c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.