TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf92c…a387

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+284.3%+$70.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$107.4
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7644.7%34 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+493.7%+$439.78
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.31
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$53
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69%+$17.25
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5745.6%26 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 3?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$25.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$64.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+65%+$38.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+778.6%+$85.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$84.25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+205%+$41.01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$32.87
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$7.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.