TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Liquid40c36,267$14,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,631.696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed T160c33,390$20,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,355.846556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid34c14,202$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,836.221,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid40c14,100$5,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,624.3390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Team Liquid40c12,500$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.972142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked T161c11,239$6,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.263050%15 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid39c11,111$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.291,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed T158c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.1489943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20029443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Team Liquid41c10,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.9814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Team Liquid26c8,970$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.7116645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.971,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Team Liquid41c7,317$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.969853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed T161c7,119$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.832653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Team Liquid42c7,031$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.754833.3%16 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9cd…3499backed T174c6,746$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.555450%27 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked T160c6,703$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.034763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T159c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed T159c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4601,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Team Liquid41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed T159c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9927637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed T159c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9410449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T166c4,525$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.2121154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed T167c4,500$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4907657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Team Liquid1c3,800$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid38c3,723$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.7359554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked T160c3,702$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.6725447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8438…4831backed Team Liquid28c3,535$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed T161c3,500$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T175c3,379$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.51,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed T160c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.336342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed T173c3,315$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.0218971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9c…f546backed T163c3,134$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.783066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked T157c2,677$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.941,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed T161c2,651$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.8446263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked T113c2,651$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.781,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed T159c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3782953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.981,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T160c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T159c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked T160c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed T160c2,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.994261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked T160c1,972$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.6321844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7411,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid3c1,890$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.82,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed T159c1,855$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.5513561.5%83 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T161c1,853$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8659558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f77…0b4abacked T160c1,633$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.11757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed T125c1,583$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.482846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9d…d66abacked T161c1,487$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Liquid37c1,430$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.7941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed T175c1,389$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed T160c1,340$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.855851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed T160c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3312552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed T160c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.333969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Liquid2c1,246$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.712181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed T160c1,215$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8316346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed T159c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49228448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked T163c1,056$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.797754.5%42 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid37c1,052$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.61,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Team Liquid35c1,050$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.151,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Team Liquid13c1,044$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.951,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked T171c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid39c989.99$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked T160c984.75$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.914663.7%93 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid40c947.06$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.821,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed T163c923.68$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7611567.8%78 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid40c888$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.21,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Team Liquid3c875$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked T167c842.47$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.014052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Team Liquid29c820.69$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23822229.3%65 W · 157 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed T160c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32048852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed T158c800$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3352339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Team Liquid25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014243.7%62 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked T160c766.67$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.6737640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0340…16a8backed T172c679.23$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Liquid37c677.06$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3696054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed Team Liquid41c671.6$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.366440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed T176c654.25$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.361,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed T163c633.68$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed T160c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Team Liquid30c600$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18217438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…f71cbacked T175c577.43$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed T118c574.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.892,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked T161c543.44$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4428253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked T149c516.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5546452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Team Liquid41c510$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.111344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Liquid41c500.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2724535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Team Liquid41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20516045.6%73 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed T159c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20515956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked T160c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked T158c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21024554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked T160c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Liquid41c490$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.92,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed T162c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.878264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked T159c479.66$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6640752.3%213 W · 194 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Team Liquid33c462.64$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.986651.5%34 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+57.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked T159c461.53$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.239439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.