TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over41c27,118$11,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,042.6996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Under60c15,000$8,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,005.228146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over40c11,111$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.391,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under59c9,639$5,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,951.9938235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under59c9,420$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.271,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over41c7,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.981,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under65c4,373$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.3341439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over41c3,098$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.4714732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over37c2,915$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.051,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Under59c2,859$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.236434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3727142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Under62c2,039$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.1837640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over29c2,029$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4114852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Over42c2,017$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.059253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under63c1,797$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.1432555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under59c1,721$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.4853753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked Under61c1,649$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.899046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Under61c1,642$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.830554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Under66c1,594$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9918961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Over38c1,429$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.1518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over11c1,355$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3910237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over42c1,144$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.384746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Under59c1,139$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8635442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Under59c1,132$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.217947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over42c904.65$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9589050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under58c889.42$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.4228942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Under60c842.76$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9549451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over42c818.73$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.332,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under63c794.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4919052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over36c784.56$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4329447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under33c764.92$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.011,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over41c755.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9522748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Under61c749.97$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4930160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Under62c722.31$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1112263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under62c645.68$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6819346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked Under60c593$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.22948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under59c587.54$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.724252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Under58c532.52$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6641945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Under59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4719735%69 W · 128 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5165…872fbacked Under75c503.13$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c500.15$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.452,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21041347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19515956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over55c490.88$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.951,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under60c490.45$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1822048.2%106 W · 114 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under45c469.64$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.042,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over57c463.52$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.641,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Under41c439.41$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.182846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under46c405.11$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1282836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15619959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Over39c398$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.223438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over46c382.49$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.62,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under59c370.9$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0721844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under59c359.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5954529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over29c345.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under35c302.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.422,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Under75c301.3$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3953047.5%252 W · 278 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaecd…4436backed Over17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over25c288.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1534849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over74c287$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9946452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over38c277.01$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.348045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Under50c274.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4942751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under34c264.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.841,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over23c255.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3719553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over39c251.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Under59c225$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9340546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Under60c223.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7344350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Under59c206.78$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7817745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Under59c202.49$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0224535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8427745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4169841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4118555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under39c169.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496740.3%27 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under59c169$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2911863.6%75 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Under62c161.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8577746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Under58c155$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over40c155$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629047.8%43 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over43c154.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6440143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb9…f414backed Over77c150.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.164667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6321747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Under60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6049541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over41c141.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.881,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under58c119.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8149346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over28c119.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b5…3186backed Over22c118.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under63c118.22$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.96251.6%32 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Under44c114.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.775164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over43c113.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7340641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c108.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.222,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Under59c107$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.871040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ee…7d5dbacked Under70c101.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8553139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3933254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157070%49 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x102f…2ffbbacked Under66c97.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.