Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc14503125fb5f3a2a06983e526c94572b9caae17e946412d04ed0c3505e104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Liquid | 13c | 2,453$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.95 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 2,324$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 12c | 1,618$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Liquid | 14c | 1,200$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 670$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Team Liquid | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 531.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed T1 | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Liquid | 16c | 439.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 431.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Liquid | 14c | 381.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Team Liquid | 9c | 265.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Team Liquid | 14c | 213.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Team Liquid | 14c | 186$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 170.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Liquid | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team Liquid | 14c | 158$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Liquid | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Team Liquid | 10c | 152.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 14c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 102.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked T1 | 69c | 61.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Team Liquid | 17c | 60.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.