TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2082…fdff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT7070%49 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.33
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$37.18
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$21.82
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.73
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$46.96
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.39
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$105.21
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$17.75
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$45.58
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$93.51
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$38.48
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$39.89
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$68.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$106.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5364.2%34 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England to score first vs. France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.4
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.32
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Panama vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$20.31
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.28
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.13
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.59
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.54
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.26
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.29
Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$46.82
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$42.69
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$64.45
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$48.89
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.34
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48.38
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.2
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$142.13
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$75.47
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$45.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.