TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x419f…72b3backed Over80c501.38$401 inWon+$100.372832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under32c445$142 inLost-$142.43333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under22c263.48$58 inLost-$57.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Over71c216.98$155 inWon+$62.2412341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Over78c212.83$166 inWon+$46.825364.2%34 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under21c196.7$42 inLost-$41.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under47c181.62$85 inLost-$84.771,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Over78c143.48$112 inWon+$31.013751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0531…aa5abacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.585949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c1…42e1backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.581540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Under24c123.82$30 inLost-$29.726618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under35c80.05$28 inLost-$27.861,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4522…4c82backed Under40c77.06$31 inLost-$30.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over68c70$48 inWon+$22.41,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under22c58.17$13 inLost-$12.82,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c55.48$12 inLost-$11.652,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ecb…e9e8backed Over75c53.33$40 inWon+$13.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over76c35.31$27 inWon+$8.493,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over68c25$17 inWon+$82,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over77c21$16 inWon+$4.831,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over75c19$14 inWon+$4.753,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.