Fifa International · resolved market
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff59bf4d4b59588bf305d687dbc16ca19ec64e714334bdd978179cb2aeeaecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 2c | 14,317$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 4,474$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.4 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 28c | 724.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.81 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 448.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 24c | 415.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 80c | 256.13$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Over | 24c | 198.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…34e3backed Over | 51c | 191.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 79c | 177.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 49c | 169.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 80c | 161.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 157.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 112$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…d21ebacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…f991backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 65c | 92.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 66c | 90.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 76c | 89.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 70c | 81.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…d4ffbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 54c | 78.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 79c | 72.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 50c | 69.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 63c | 63.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Over | 47c | 59.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…d876backed Over | 42c | 47.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…2819backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 72c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…9d60backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…5e80backed Over | 49c | 40.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 76c | 32.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 24.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 21.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Japan (-5.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Japan won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 1.5Under won
- Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.